ANALYSIS & FORECASTS
- Dominican Republic
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Monthly Report 07 Jun 2013
One of the lowest rates in 10 years, Q1 growth came in far below expectations at just 0.3% y/y. Nearly every field shrank: local manufacturing, construction, commerce, hotels, bars and restaurants, and energy and water. The collapse was the result of falling domestic demand, both due to the recent tax ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Quarterly Outlook 10 May 2013
Economic activity in Q1 was lower than expected, at 1%-1.5%, due to the effects of tax reform, and slim investment spending. But an increase in capital spending was announced, and successful allocation of $1 billion in sovereign bonds in April will ease the foreign exchange market. So we expect more ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Monthly Report 11 Apr 2013
Barrick Gold Corp. and the government are at loggerheads over terms of a contract for the exploitation of a large gold mine in the community of Pueblo Viejo. The public questioned the terms of the contract from the start, even though it had been approved both by Congress and the executive branch, and ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Monthly Report 08 Mar 2013
Following the tax reform passed in November, monthly inflation rate in January 2013 reached 1.26%. This is twice as much as in December (0.63%) and almost three times the inflation rate registered in January 2012 (0.44%). Nonetheless, year-over-year inflation has shown a diminishing tendency because ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Market Brief 20 Feb 2013
Banco de Reservas de la República Dominicana, commonly known as Banreservas, a State-owned commercial bank and one of the largest in the system, recently issued Subordinated Notes for USD 300 mm. A heated debate took place in the Dominican Republic media on whether the notes should be considered public ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Monthly Report 04 Feb 2013
We forecast a sizeable reduction in economic activity for the first quarter of 2013. We expect GDP to grow by 2.8%. It will be the third consecutive first quarter to register growth deceleration. The impact of increase in the VAT and other taxes on consumption will be severe. The Central Bank is estimating ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Quarterly Outlook 03 Jan 2013
In spite of the dramatic fiscal expansion in 2012, economic activity slowed with respect to 2011. The dissociation between public spending growth and overall economic growth has raised serious concerns with respect to the quality of expenditure during the first eight months of 2012. However, new official ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Monthly Report 05 Dec 2012
Lower growth, severe fiscal strains and pressures on the exchange rate have been the most outstanding characteristics of recent economic performance. Official figures estimate the growth rate for January-September 2012 at 3.9%. That figure marks the second consecutive year of declining growth. Also,
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Monthly Report 02 Nov 2012
New data released by the government set the consolidated public sector deficit at DOP 187.3 billions or 8.2% of the GDP. Non-financial public sector deficit would reach DOP 155.9 billions or 6.8% of GDP and the quasi-fiscal deficit (Central Bank) would amount to DOP 31.4 billions of 1.4% of GDP. President ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Monthly Report 01 Oct 2012
The inauguration speech of Danilo Medina was enthusiastically received by public opinion, prompting a wave of optimism among the business community, Catholic Church, civil society organizations, and even the political opposition. However, just a few hours later, the appointment of the Cabinet was received ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Special Report 26 Jun 2012
On May 21 the Central Bank announced a seventy-five basis point reduction of overnight deposit interest rates, from 6.75% to 6%. According to the monetary authorities, with this measure they were looking to reboot the economy at no inflation risk. On June 15, the CBRD (Central Bank of the Dominican ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Special Report 04 Jun 2012
The Partido de la Liberación Dominicana (PLD) won the presidential elections held on May 20. The official ballot, in which Danilo Medina/Margarita Cedeño were running for the PLD and several allied parties, got 51.8% of the total valid vote against the 46.9% favoring Hipólito Mejía/Luis Abinader, the ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Monthly Report 26 Apr 2012
Economic stability is an illusion: changes are urgently needed. The next administration needs to tackle high unemployment, the current account deficit, rising public debt, a big fiscal deficit, and scant domestic savings for financing investment. Yet the next president, whether Danilo Medina of outgoing ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Monthly Report 05 Mar 2012
Exports in the Dominican Republic have had a modest performance with a clear downward trend as opposed to the gross domestic product (GDP) fast growing pace and despite the free trade agreements that the country signed in 2005 and 2008. Economists and entrepreneurs have pointed out that lack of productivity,
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Quarterly Outlook 15 Feb 2012
Since the early 1990s the Dominican economy implemented important economic and institutional reforms, nonetheless its macroeconomic situation has not improved towards economic stability. Its short run economic growth has been guaranteed by an increasing public debt and several tax reforms. These tax ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Monthly Report 21 Nov 2011
The majority of DR population has been waiting for the conclusion of the Seventh review of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Stand-By Agreement (SBA) signed by the Dominican Government. The IMF mission came to the Dominican Republic (DR) last August 2011 and a few days later Dominican government ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Monthly Report 07 Sep 2011
Next year, Barrick Gold Dominicana (BGD) will start producing and exporting around one million ounces of gold, leading (together with Falconbridge) the local mining sector. In addition, up to this date, about 97 mining exploration requests have been submitted to the Ministry of Industry and Commerce ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Monthly Report 04 Aug 2011
The presidential elections are nine months away in Dominican Republic and its inhabitants are getting ready for this upcoming democratic event. Government officials have made a huge effort trying to convince the general population that the current administration is successfully applying corrective measures ...
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Quarterly Outlook 08 Jul 2011
The domestic and external public debt grew considerably during the last four years to finance the expansive fiscal policy. As a result, the economy has achieved one of the highest economic growth rates within the Latin America region. Nonetheless, the high economic growth shows long run inconsistencies,
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