On August 10th, President Chávez met with President Santos in Santa Marta, a coastal city in northern Colombia. The estate in which they met has symbolic significance, since it was ...

Colombia databank...

A fiscal law proposed by the outgoing government would limit future administrations’ spending flexibility, by requiring some oil and mining windfalls to be saved for leaner times, ...

Predictability is trouncing novelty in the presidential race: Despite polling forecasts of a tight race between former Defense Minister Juan Manuel Santos and ex Bogotá mayor Antanas ...

Principal surveys on vote intention for presidential elections show some intriguing and interesting trends. According to Colombian surveyors, Mockus used his magic in April to jump ...

We can define Colombia’s political regime by two salient features. First, all presidential candidates need to show a long track record either in the public sector or in Congress. Second,

Q4 GDP results were surprisingly strong, coming in above everyone’s expectations: the government’s, the Central Bank’s and ours. The economy grew 2.5% in that quarter, pushing 2009 ...

Presidential elections present uncertainties, but also the possibility of choosing a new future. If we believe the polls and trends, it’s most likely that Juan Manuel Santos will be ...

Constitutional Court deliberations took center stage. They started on Thursday, Feb. 11th, and are supposed to continue during this week. A former Justice told us that the first meeting ...

Lots of news emerged in two days. First Sierra-Porto, the Constitutional Court Justice in charge of preparing the ruling draft on the constitutionality of the law calling for a referendum ...

What are the odds that the referendum to allow the president to run for a third term will pass? In December we thought they had tilted 40/60 against him. But now they are on the upswing ...

This has not been a good start of the year for the local TES market. Volatility has surged and rates have soared quickly, leading to increased steepness of the yield curve. Yields ...

On December 21st, the National Statistics Agency -Dane- released GDP data for the third quarter of 2009. We expected Q3 growth to be zero (when compared with 2008-Q3); it turned out ...

Rumors suggest that the odds have tilted to 40/60 against the referendum that would allow President Alvaro Uribe to run for a third term; recall that in September, we analyzed the ...

In this Quarterly we review performance of the main macroeconomic variables for 2009, and discuss our expectations for 2010. In inflation, the Central Bank’s Monetary Board last week ...

The exchange rate has again climbed to the top of the government’s priority list. As the peso neared its strongest level in 14 months, the Ministry of Finance announced it would not ...