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Lula's challenges and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 Mar 2024

The government may submit a new bill to Congress on the Perse program and payroll tax relief for municipalities. The STJ should adjudicate the inclusion of energy tariffs in the calculation of the ICMS. Mauro Vieira talks about the government's foreign policy. This week's Talking Points: ...

Polls reflect drop in government’s approval ratings, the House continues to elect presidencies of the permanent committees, and the STJ may adjudicate the case on the calculation of the ICMS tax
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 Mar 2024

Last week, polls from three institutes (IPEC, Atlas, and Quaest/Genial) showed a drop in the government's ratings and raised concerns, especially due to the upcoming municipal elections. With this, President Lula is expected to hold a ministerial meeting next Monday, March 18. Also this week, the...

Lula’s approval ratings have dropped below 50%, the government should submit a bill next week on the Perse program, and the STJ will adjudicate a case on the calculation of the ICMS tax
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Mar 2024

For the first time since the beginning of his term, the majority of Brazilians do not approve of the Lula government. Approval fell from 52% in January to 47% in March. Next week, the government should submit a bill to Congress that deals with the Emergency Program for the Resumption of the Event...

The House elected presidents of the permanent committees, Haddad meets with governors to discuss the Fiscal Recovery Regime, and the government’s approval rating drops
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Mar 2024

Yesterday, the House began the election process for the permanent committees of the House. The presidents of 19 of the 30 committees were elected. Deputy Caroline de Toni (PL-SC) was elected president of the Constitution and Justice Committee (CCJ). The Minister of Finance, Fernando Haddad, met w...

Haddad is expected to submit a bill on Perse and the payroll tax reduction for municipalities, mayors hold a demonstration in Brasilia in defense of payroll tax reductions, and Lula will meet with the governor of Minas Gerais
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Mar 2024

Yesterday, the Minister of Finance, Fernando Haddad, said that he will send a bill to Congress on the Emergency Program for the Resumption of the Events Sector (Perse) and the payroll tax exemption for municipalities. The submission should take place next week. Today, the National Confederation o...

Lula will meet with Senate leaders today to improve their relationship, the Ministry of Finance discusses Tax Reform regulation, and there is a new conflict between the Central Bank and the PT
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Mar 2024

Today, President Lula will meet with the president of the Senate, Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD-MG), and party leaders. The objective of the meeting is to improve the relationship between the Executive Office and the National Congress. Yesterday, Minister Fernando Haddad said that the government's idea is...

Nods to opposing sectors and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 04 Mar 2024

President Lula will meet with party leaders in the Senate. Mayors demonstrate in Brasília in defense of payroll tax relief for municipalities. The BC outlines its regulatory priorities for 2024. This week's Talking Points: * After crises, the União Brasil has new leaders. * ...

Lula will meet with Senate leaders this week to improve their relationship, mayors will hold a demonstration in Brasilia in defense of payroll tax reduction, and the CCJ is expected to discuss the new Electoral Code
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 04 Mar 2024

On Tuesday, March 5, President Lula will meet with the president of the Senate, Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD-MG), and party leaders. The objective of the meeting is to improve the relationship between the Executive Office and the National Congress. On Wednesday, March 6, the National Confederation of Mun...

The IBGE published the GDP at 2.9% for 2023, city halls will hold a demonstration in Brasilia next week in support of the payroll tax exemption, and the Senate discusses changes to electoral legislation
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Mar 2024

Today’s highlight is the publication of the GDP result, which was reported by the IBGE at 2.9% for 2023. The result strengthens Minister Fernando Haddad in the government and increases his prestige within the National Congress. The National Confederation of Municipalities is organizing a demonstr...

The government submitted a payroll tax bill to Congress, Pacheco will meet with Senator Barros to discuss the carbon credit market bill, and Lula is expected to meet with Senate leaders next week to improve their relationship
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 29 Feb 2024

Yesterday, the government submitted a payroll tax bill to Congress. The text will replace the provisional measure (MP) that was issued in December last year and was poorly received among legislators. Pacheco also stated that he has a meeting in the next few days with Senator Leila Barros (PDT-DF)...

Lula signed a provisional measure that revokes the resumption of the payroll tax, the House approved the urgent status for the bill on crypto, and the STF will adjudicate the INSS lifetime review today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Feb 2024

Yesterday, Lula signed a provisional measure that revokes the resumption of the payroll tax, but it has not yet been published in the Federal Official Gazette. The measure was negotiated with the National Congress. Also yesterday, the House approved the urgent status for the bill dealing with cry...

The pace of activity in Congress is slow, Senators believe that Lula has paid too much attention to the House and not enough to the Senate, and the TSE will adjudicate cases regarding the upcoming municipal elections
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Feb 2024

The combination of the lack of a concrete solution to the issue of congressional funds and issues such as the payroll tax exemption, in addition to the fact that the House is still discussing internally which party will lead which permanent committee of the House, considerably reduces the level o...

An ambitious agenda and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Feb 2024

The government may submit a new MP and bill on payroll tax relief to Congress. Arthur Lira discusses with party leaders the presidencies of the Permanent Committees of the House. In the STF, the highlight is the adjudication of the INSS lifetime review. The IBGE publishes the 2023 GDP this week. ...

Bolsonaro’s demonstration was impressive, Lira should meet with party leaders this week to discuss the presidencies of the House committees, and the 2023 GDP result will be published this week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Feb 2024

Former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) showed that he still has significant political capital. Whomever he decides to support in the upcoming elections is likely to receive a high number of votes. While the demonstration is unlikely to change his legal status, he remains Lula's main antagonist. Thi...

Lula met with party leaders of the House to improve their relationship, Lira should meet with party leaders next week to discuss the presidencies of the House committees, and the 2023 GDP result will be published next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Feb 2024

Yesterday, President Lula met with the president of the House, Arthur Lira (PP-AL), and representatives of 12 parties. The objective of the meeting was to improve dialogue between the Executive and Legislative branches. Next week, a meeting is scheduled between Arthur Lira (PP-AL) and party leade...