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COUNTRY INSIGHTS

An ambitious agenda and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Feb 2024

The government may submit a new MP and bill on payroll tax relief to Congress. Arthur Lira discusses with party leaders the presidencies of the Permanent Committees of the House. In the STF, the highlight is the adjudication of the INSS lifetime review. The IBGE publishes the 2023 GDP this week. ...

Bolsonaro’s demonstration was impressive, Lira should meet with party leaders this week to discuss the presidencies of the House committees, and the 2023 GDP result will be published this week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Feb 2024

Former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) showed that he still has significant political capital. Whomever he decides to support in the upcoming elections is likely to receive a high number of votes. While the demonstration is unlikely to change his legal status, he remains Lula's main antagonist. Thi...

Lula met with party leaders of the House to improve their relationship, Lira should meet with party leaders next week to discuss the presidencies of the House committees, and the 2023 GDP result will be published next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Feb 2024

Yesterday, President Lula met with the president of the House, Arthur Lira (PP-AL), and representatives of 12 parties. The objective of the meeting was to improve dialogue between the Executive and Legislative branches. Next week, a meeting is scheduled between Arthur Lira (PP-AL) and party leade...

Haddad will look into the Perse program, Lula will meet with party leaders of the House to improve their relationship, and Flavio Dino takes office as a justice of the STF
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 Feb 2024

The Minister of Finance, Fernando Haddad, said he will look closely into Perse, a program that funds the events sector. Fraud was identified in the program, whose expenses exceeded R$17 billion. This evening, President Lula will meet with the party leaders of the House and the president of the Ho...

Lula will meet with Haddad to discuss the payroll tax, several civil servants are calling for salary raises, and President Lula's statements about Israel continue to weigh negatively on the government
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 21 Feb 2024

President Lula meets with the Minister of Finance, Fernando Haddad, to discuss reimbursing the payroll tax. The matter will be addressed through a bill with constitutional urgent status. Some civil servant groups are mobilizing for salary raises. The work-to-rule job action of federal agricultura...

The temporary truce and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 Feb 2024

Throughout the week, the Government and Congress should negotiate on payroll tax relief, Perse (a program for the events sector), and Budget cuts. Conversations continue around the Ministry of Labor's ordinance on work on Sundays and holidays. Senator Flávio Dino resigns to take a seat on the STF...

Government leaders will meet to discuss the payroll tax exemption, party leaders will meet to discuss the parliamentary funds veto, and the STF has maintained the date of Bolsonaro’s deposition
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 Feb 2024

Yesterday, the government leader in Congress, Senator Randolfe Rodrigues, said that the payroll tax relief issue would be resolved by the end of this week. He said that a solution only depended on President Lula's approval. Party leaders who are part of the Joint Budget Committee will meet to dis...

The Legislature will deal with issues in its relationship with the Executive Office, Flavio Dino takes a seat on the STF, and Bolsonaro calls for a demonstration on February 25
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Feb 2024

Next week, Congress returns to work at full pace and has issues to resolve with the Executive Office. Payroll tax relief, the Perse funding program for the events sector, and budget cuts are among the main sources of dissatisfaction in the relationship between the Legislature and the Executive Of...

Bolsonaro has called for a demonstration on February 25 that he hopes will establish him as a significant electoral player, and his supporters seem to be organizing themselves to attend
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Feb 2024

President Jair Bolsonaro is calling for a demonstration on February 25 so that he can defend himself against accusations of an attempted coup d'état. He believes this would be a demonstration in defense of the democratic rule of law. It appears that his supporters are organizing themselves to att...

The Federal Police has seized Bolsonaro’s passport, next week will be the Carnival holiday, and Lula visited Minas Gerais alongside Rodrigo Pacheco
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Feb 2024

Yesterday's Federal Police investigation into an attempted coup d'état had broad political repercussions. President Jair Bolsonaro and his allies were targeted in the investigation. Bolsonaro's passport was seized. Due to the Carnival holiday next week, decisions on the payroll tax exemption, the...

Lula has been traveling the country ahead of the municipal elections, the STF resumes adjudication of a case on dismissals in the public sector, and the strike in the Federal Revenue Service should end today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Feb 2024

President Lula has focused his attention on the three largest electoral colleges recently. Last week, for example, Lula went to São Paulo to participate in an event alongside Tarcísio de Freitas. Yesterday, he went to Rio de Janeiro and praised Eduardo Paes (PSD). And today, he will participate i...

A solution to the payroll tax exemption issue may be found this week, the president of the Parliamentary Agribusiness Front criticized the government, and Haddad is expected to maintain the zero-deficit target
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Feb 2024

According to the Minister of Finance, Fernando Haddad, and the government leader in the Senate, Randolfe Rodrigues, a solution will be found to the payroll tax exemption issue by the end of the week. But Haddad believes everything will depend on President Lula's approval. The president of the Par...

Congress listed its priorities for the year, Lira stressed that the government needs to negotiate with Congress more, and Padilha will meet with Congress's leaders
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Feb 2024

Both Lira and Pacheco spoke about the need to regulate artificial intelligence. The regulation of Tax Reform was also mentioned. While Lira targeted his messages toward the Executive Office, Pacheco focused more on the Judiciary. Lira said that achievements such as the payroll tax exemption and P...

Political negotiation in check and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Feb 2024

The National Congress resumes its activities in a climate of tension with the Executive Office. As this is the week before Carnival, there are unlikely to be any important votes. In the economy, the highlights are the release of the Copom minutes and the IPCA for February. This week's Talking ...

Congress resumes activity today, the government outlines its priorities for the year, and unions may reach an agreement to end civil servants' strike
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Feb 2024

The legislative year is set to begin today at 3 p.m. in a formal session of the National Congress. According to the Minister of Institutional Relations, Alexandre Padilha, the government should detail its list of priorities for 2024 right after Carnival. The municipal elections in October will dr...

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