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Jan 27, 2015
Central Ame Databank
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ANALYSIS & FORECASTS

SOUTH AFRICA - Market Brief 30 Jan 2015
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) left the repo rate unchanged at 5.75%. In acknowledging the continued weakness of the South African economy, Governor Lesetja Kganyago mentioned that the earlier emphasized interest rate normalization process will be paused ...
VENEZUELA - Monthly Report 30 Jan 2015
President Maduro signaled policy continuity in his annual address to the legislature last January 21. We see no signs that severe shortages and spiraling inflation will be tamed and remain as uncertain as we were last month regarding the probability of default. We project net outflows of foreign exchange ...
BRAZIL - POLITICS Market Brief 29 Jan 2015
Two new pieces of information add potentially explosive elements to the crisis surrounding the Petrobras corruption allegations. According to the Radar Online column, the President of UTC, Ricardo Pessoa, is collaborating with the Lava Jato operation on a plea bargain deal in exchange for information....
CHINA - Monthly Report 29 Jan 2015
Growth has been slowing, with the 7.4% rise in real GDP in 2014 representing a 0.3 pp dip from 2013. That means growth has run below 8% for three years in a row. Quarterly growth rates were quite flat last year, too. Some depressive factors are worth noting. First, industrial output slowed sharply: ...
VENEZUELA - Market Brief 28 Jan 2015
In the absence of BCV inflation data, we continue analyzing inflation using the household food basket data published by the Center for Documentation and Social Analysis of the Venezuelan Federation of Teachers (Cendas). This data has shown significant correlation with the NCPI food subindex....
CENTRAL AMERICA - Monthly Report 27 Jan 2015
The global economy will boost Central American economies this year. This is, first, because of the expected behavior of the U.S. economy, the most important export market for the region, and the main source of private remittances for El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras. The second reason is the sharp ...
BRAZIL - Market Brief 26 Jan 2015
In the past several days the real has appreciated, interrupting a lengthy period of gradual weakening. At the start of the year, the exchange rate was fluctuating in the neighborhood of R$ 2.70/US$, but recently it has gotten stronger, closing last week at R$2.58/US$. The real is one of the currencies ...
BRAZIL - Monthly Report 26 Jan 2015
The resounding failure of the economic policy practiced between 2011 and 2014 culminated in the replacement of Guido Mantega by Joaquim Levy as finance minister, and prompted an about-face in economic policy. The diagnosis has changed and the new macroeconomic policy orientation aims at: resumption ...
TURKEY - Quarterly Outlook 26 Jan 2015
After a volatile year, Turkey has had a good start into 2015, the main driver being a collapsing oil price. Indeed, there is little doubt that a sharply lower oil price, bolstered by ECB tailwinds, is a great boon for Turkey’s macro balances and offers a cyclical opportunity for investors. But there ...
BRAZIL - POLITICS Market Brief 22 Jan 2015
The following is a summary table with the fiscal measures adopted by President Dilma’s economy team. Of the 11 announced acts, three were still not published in the official gazette and six still depend on legislative approval....
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Feb 3, 2015
Reserve Bank of India
Feb 4, 2015
Bank of England
Feb 13, 2015
Brazil: Carnival
May 2, 2015
Asia Development Bank meetings
May 3, 2015
Asia Development Bank meetings
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