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Nov 17, 2014
China Databank
Nov 17, 2014
India Databank
Nov 17, 2014
Brazil Databank
Nov 14, 2014
Venezuela Databank
Nov 13, 2014
Mexico Databank
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ANALYSIS & FORECASTS

INDIA - Special Report 21 Nov 2014
The dramatic decline in the price of crude oil has important implications for the Indian economy. Consumption of crude oil is slightly above 6% of GDP, so a halving of the price of crude oil is tantamount to a tax cut of 3 percentage points of GDP. Crude oil consumption divided by GDP has never been ...
TURKEY - Market Brief 20 Nov 2014
In line with the consensus view, the MPC left all interest rates unchanged today: weekly repo rate at 8.25%; O/N lending and borrowing rates at 11.25% and 7.5%, respectively. Three aspects of the statement are worth highlighting. First, the Bank now hints at a moderate shift in the composition of growth ...
SOUTH AFRICA - Market Brief 20 Nov 2014
In his inaugural Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) address, South African Reserve Bank (SARB) Governor Lesetja Kganyago announced that the committee unanimously voted in favor of no change in the repo rate. Therefore, the repo rate remains at 5.75% per year....
TURKEY - Special Report 19 Nov 2014
This time, Turkey’s newfound fortune – or The Prize* -- is a collapsing oil price. Since the broad-based market sell-off of early October, Turkish markets rallied strongly. Exuberance has gained traction in recent days, with the markets already entertaining – or seriously debating -- a rate cut possibility ...
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Quarterly Outlook 18 Nov 2014
Economic performance couldn’t be better. GDP growth in 2014 through Q3 was outstanding, climbing to 7%, from 3.7% last year. The numbers were positive across sectors. Inflation was estimated at 2.83%, nearly half the level of the same period of 2013; we expect it to end 2014 beneath the lower boundary ...
SOUTH AFRICA - Special Report 17 Nov 2014
The recent expulsion of the National Union of Metalworkers of South Africa (NUMSA) from the Congress of South African Trade Unions (COSATU) could be the harbinger of intense inter-union competition as well as an escalation in industrial relations instability in South Africa. As things stand currently,
BRAZIL - Market Brief 17 Nov 2014
Real retail sales expanded in September, both in the restricted concept (0.4%) and in the augmented one, which includes cars and construction materials (0.5%). With this, augmented sales in the third quarter shrank 1.9%. It was a smaller fall than in the second quarter (-3%), but household consumption ...
PERU - Quarterly Outlook 17 Nov 2014
Initial growth expectations for 2014 by both analysts and government authorities have fallen from 5.5% to 6% to the 3% area, which we still consider optimistic. We believe Q4 growth will be about 2% y/y, compared to 1.8% for Q3. We see 2014 growth at just 2.5%. More worrisome is that slowdown has spread ...
PHILIPPINES - Quarterly Outlook 14 Nov 2014
Once again, greater uncertainty is spreading through world financial markets as players are forced to feel their way through changing monetary policy stances in advanced economies. Our baseline view of above 6% GDP growth for 2014 and 2015 is based on expectations that external developments are overall ...
VENEZUELA - Market Brief 14 Nov 2014
In the absence of BCV inflation data, we continue analyzing inflation using the food basket data published by the Center for Documentation and Social Analysis of the Venezuelan Federation of Teachers (Cendas)....
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