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Nov 24, 2014
Chile Databank
Nov 17, 2014
China Databank
Nov 17, 2014
India Databank
Nov 17, 2014
Brazil Databank
Nov 14, 2014
Venezuela Databank
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ANALYSIS & FORECASTS

ECUADOR - Quarterly Outlook 25 Nov 2014
We’ve lowered our 2014 economic growth projections, to 3.8%-4% from 4.5%, given the post-August plunge in oil prices. We see the deficit at 5.8% of GDP, and the current account deficit remaining low, at 0.4% of GDP, driven by this year’s trade deficit shrinkage. This latter is courtesy of the excellent ...
SOUTH AFRICA - Market Brief 25 Nov 2014
According to rebased and re-weighted official figures released by Statistics South Africa, the inflation-adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 1.4% on a quarter-on-quarter (q/q) seasonally adjusted and annualized (saa) basis in the third quarter of 2014. This, after having narrowly escaped recession ...
CHILE - Monthly Report 25 Nov 2014
Economists have systematically revised downward their expectations for Chilean GDP growth for both 2014 and 2015. Though fundamentals point to a near-term recovery, there are no signs of this yet. The devaluation of the peso and the fall in the price of oil should help the industrial sector, especially ...
ARGENTINA - Quarterly Outlook 25 Nov 2014
In the road toward the presidential election, an element that stands as an inflexion point is the resolution of the holdouts saga, which is keeping the Argentine Republic an outlaw of the US Justice and preventing access to international credit markets. How this issue is resolved will not only define ...
COLOMBIA - Quarterly Outlook 24 Nov 2014
The Government is expecting the Current Account Deficit to reach 4% of GDP this year, due to reduced oil exports. However, if oil prices fell to put the average annual price at $93 this year, the 2014 CAD could be as high as 4.4% of GDP. But the impact of lower oil prices could be much more dramatic ...
BRAZIL - Market Brief 24 Nov 2014
The increase of 0.38% in the IPCA-15 for November was below the median of expectations, bringing the rate over the past 12 months to 6.42%, below the top of the target interval (6.5%). All signs are that there are no forces either for a noteworthy acceleration of inflation or of overcoming the rigidity ...
BRAZIL - Monthly Report 24 Nov 2014
If the nomination, widely indicated in the press, of Joaquim Levy to be the new finance minister turns out to be true, the above proclamation will certainly apply. He’s an economist with a solid academic background and extensive experience in public service, both as treasury secretary during the Lula ...
INDIA - Special Report 21 Nov 2014
The dramatic decline in the price of crude oil has important implications for the Indian economy. Consumption of crude oil is slightly above 6% of GDP, so a halving of the price of crude oil is tantamount to a tax cut of 3 percentage points of GDP. Crude oil consumption divided by GDP has never been ...
TURKEY - Market Brief 20 Nov 2014
In line with the consensus view, the MPC left all interest rates unchanged today: weekly repo rate at 8.25%; O/N lending and borrowing rates at 11.25% and 7.5%, respectively. Three aspects of the statement are worth highlighting. First, the Bank now hints at a moderate shift in the composition of growth ...
SOUTH AFRICA - Market Brief 20 Nov 2014
In his inaugural Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) address, South African Reserve Bank (SARB) Governor Lesetja Kganyago announced that the committee unanimously voted in favor of no change in the repo rate. Therefore, the repo rate remains at 5.75% per year....
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