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Mar 26, 2015
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ANALYSIS & FORECASTS

BRAZIL - POLITICS Market Brief 27 Mar 2015
The Joint Commissions to discuss the provisional measures for the fiscal adjustment established a work chronology....
SOUTH AFRICA - Market Brief 26 Mar 2015
Today, the South African Reserve Bank (SARB)’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to keep the repo rate unchanged at 5.75% per annum, citing deteriorated inflationary prospects. Granted, the headline inflation rate has moderated significantly over the past months, from 5.9% year-on-year (y/y) in ...
PHILIPPINES - Market Brief 25 Mar 2015
It is a foregone conclusion that Thursday’s meeting of the Monetary Board of the BSP will see policy rates on hold. What divides market players is whether policy rates will remain steady for the rest of the year, or whether hikes or cuts are in store. The April issue of Focus Economics shows that of ...
CHINA - Monthly Report 25 Mar 2015
Prime Minister Keqiang Li announced in an address to Congress on March 4th that China was aiming for growth of about 7% for 2015. And he stated that more structural reform would be needed going forward. The economy continued to slow in January and February. Industrial output was up 6.8% y/y in January-February...
COLOMBIA - Monthly Report 24 Mar 2015
The economy slowed in Q4, with GDP at 3.5% falling short of the government’s 3.8% projection. That took 2014 growth down to 4.6%, from 4.9% in 2013. The main activity drivers continued to be construction (up 5.9%) and commerce (4.5%), followed by government expenditure (social services, up 4.2%) and ...
BRAZIL - POLITICS Market Brief 24 Mar 2015
The CNT/MDA poll released yesterday, March 23, has confirmed the negative popularity scenario currently being experienced by President Dilma Rousseff. Her governance is perceived as “excellent” by only 11% of those interviewed, while 65% perceive it to be “bad” or “terrible”. These numbers are virtually ...
ECUADOR - Monthly Report 24 Mar 2015
Around 100,000 people from all sectors of the economy marched last Thursday to protest against the draconian import taxes recently imposed by the government to control the balance of trade deficit. However, this was not the only claim. The arrogance of the regime, the attacks to free press and lost ...
BRAZIL - Market Brief 23 Mar 2015
Nobody doubts that inflation this year will be very high, with the consensus projections now approaching 8%, even with the expectation that the deceleration of economic activity (already starting to be reflected in the unemployment rate) will reduce real wages and slow growth of service prices....
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - Monthly Report 20 Mar 2015
Preliminary Central Bank estimates put the 2014 NFPS deficit at 3.0% of GDP, 0.2 percentage points above the target. Though this comes as a surprise, definitive figures are yet to be seen. Inflation rebounded to its normal levels February, with deflationary pressures declining as oil prices recovered....
BRAZIL - POLITICS Market Brief 19 Mar 2015
The dismissal of the Minister of Education, Cid Gomes (PROS-CE), which took place yesterday afternoon, is a consequence of his clashing with Congress. In opting to remove Cid, the Planalto is signaling a willingness to prevent further deterioration of its relationship with Congress....
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