A bit too sanguine, a bit too soon

TURKEY - Report 12 Nov 2026 by Murat Ucer

The CBRT released its fourth and final Inflation Report of the year today. The Bank raised its end-2026 inflation forecast from 28% in the previous report --and 28.4% in the Medium-Term Program (MTP)-- to 29.5%. As we’ve expected, the CBRT also brought its inflation forecasts for 2027 and 2028 in line with the MTP (without further revisions), raising them from 15% to 21% and from 9% to 13.5%, respectively. The Bank expects inflation to decline to 9% in 2029, returning to single digits.

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