GlobalSource Partners | Country Insights

The Bank of Israel lowered its policy rate by 25 basis points to 3.50%, in line with our expectations and market pricing. This follows previous rate cuts in December 2025, January 2026 and May 2026, bringing cumulative easing to 100bp over the past seven months. The tone has become somewhat le...

A reduced "fiscal time bomb" agenda and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Jul 2026

The Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) is holding a public hearing on Monday and Tuesday to hear testimony from American and Brazilian organizations regarding its investigation into Brazilian trade practices that the U.S. considers "unreasonable". Meanwhile, President of the ...

2026 ELECTIONS: The Candidates

BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 06 Jul 2026

Opinion polls on voter preferences regarding presidential candidates continue to reflect a frozen scenario between the two extremes - Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro - with the lead oscillating according to the news flow. At the moment, after the revelations of Flavio's involvement with Daniel Vorcaro,...

Russian macro: economic dichotomy hampers growth

RUSSIA ECONOMICS · Forecast · 06 Jul 2026

In our previous reports, we mentioned that some officially announced data appeared odd amid slowing economic growth. While there’s no doubt about the general trends — the overall economy seems unhealthy, even if some sectors are doing relatively well — the constant revision of inconsistent statis...

Hugo Motta will meet with representatives of the FPA to discuss rural debt, the Senate may vote on the minimum freight rate policy proposal, and the USTR will hold public hearings on Brazil’s trade practices

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Jul 2026

Hugo Motta, President of the House, will meet on Tuesday (July 7) with representatives of the Parliamentary Agricultural Front (FPA) to discuss the proposal addressing rural debt (Bill No. 5,122/23). The economic team opposes the bill, which has already been approved by the Senate, due to its fis...

The Philippines reclassified as an upper-middle-income country: a milestone, not the destination

PHILIPPINES · Report · 06 Jul 2026

The World Bank's reclassification of the Philippines as an upper-middle-income country marks an important achievement in the country's economic journey and recognizes its resilience and sustained macroeconomic progress. Yet the greater challenge lies not in attaining a higher income classificatio...

Omnibus closer to approval, but further from working its magic

CHILE · Report · 06 Jul 2026

Recent data points to further weakness in domestic activity. Mining and manufacturing explained most of the contraction, but the pace of expansion remained weak, even when these sectors are excluded. Consumption-related indicators were somewhat more resilient. The picture is increasingly gloomy, ...

Poland outlook: inflation on target, demand still fragile, and "hospitalgate" adds political risk

POLAND · Report · 06 Jul 2026

We assess Poland’s short-term macroeconomic outlook and the emerging political risks surrounding the governing coalition. Inflation fell back to the NBP target in June 2026, mainly due to declining food prices, while core inflation remained broadly stable, indicating that domestic demand pressure...

Politics: Mexico's 2027 midterm elections: early maneuvering, internal tensions, and a fragmented opposition

MEXICO · Report · 06 Jul 2026

With eleven months to go before Mexico's midterm elections — in which 500 congressional seats, 17 governorships, and nearly two thousand municipal presidencies are at stake — Morena has already launched its candidate selection process, months ahead of what the law permits. Exploiting a strategy r...

South Africa's Financial Stability Review: External risks dominate while domestic resilience holds

SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 06 Jul 2026

The latest (June 2026) Financial Stability Review by the South African Reserve Bank signals an important shift in South Africa's macro-financial environment. While it continues the SARB's comprehensive assessment of both domestic and international risks to financial stability, the balance of risk...

Chaotic politics, stagnant economy

TURKEY · Forecast · 05 Jul 2026

The macro context has become palpably more stagflationary over the past few months, with economic activity stagnating but inflation remaining elevated -- and we expect things to stay this way for the foreseeable future. But this should be no threat to the proverbial “carry trade” -- the only thin...

Delcy Rodríguez’s first major test

VENEZUELA · Report · 04 Jul 2026

The June 24 earthquakes are Delcy Rodríguez’s interim government’s first major operational test since assuming power in January of this year. The response has been opaque, slow, and heavily dependent on U.S. military and humanitarian cooperation, more visible than the Venezuelan Armed Forces them...

June inflation: a summer respite of sorts

TURKEY · In Brief · 03 Jul 2026

Consumer prices rose by 1.0%, m/m, in June, in line with the median market expectation. As a result, annual consumer price inflation eased slightly to 32.1%, from 32.6% in May. Monthly domestic PPI inflation was 1.8% in June, with the 12-month PPI rate thus declining also slightly to 28.1% from 2...

Leaving for a summer holiday risks missing a number of important events in today's Hungary

HUNGARY · In Brief · 03 Jul 2026

In hindsight, PM Magyar appears to have been right when he said that no one in Hungary's public service should plan a long holiday this summer. Returning from our own ten-day leave, we found an impressive list of important changes, which were the following:1. The MNB base rate was reduced by 25 b...

Ahead of Monday's Bank of Israel interest rate decision

ISRAEL · In Brief · 02 Jul 2026

Ahead of Monday's interest rate decision The Bank of Israel's Monetary Committee will announce its interest rate decision on Monday. Overall, the balance of factors facing the Bank of Israel supports further monetary easing: Inflation surprised on the downside in May. The CPI declined by 0.3%, wh...