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GULF WEEKLY: Dubai tourism and Abu Dhabi GDP boom, Kuwait budgets a huge deficit, Omani equities surge
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 13 Feb 2026

A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines: * There were reports that OPEC+ might be leaning towards an April production increase. * Market expectations of US strikes on Iran declined further, despite Trump's sending another carrier. * Saudi Arabia appointed Fahad al...

Peru: President Jeri to be impeached
PERU · In Brief · 13 Feb 2026

Last night, Congress gathered the necessary support from congress-members to call an extraordinary Congress’ session and discuss President Jeri impeachment. However, Fuerza Popular party and Congress- speaker, Fernando Rospigliosi, from the same party are making it difficult. For once, although 8...

Implications of a suspended minimum wage hike
COLOMBIA · In Brief · 13 Feb 2026

The State Council, one of Colombia’s high courts, issued a ruling on February 13th, suspending the effects of Decree 1469, issued by the Petro administration on December 29th of last year. In other words, the State Council has decided to suspend the 23% increase in the minimum wage. This ruling c...

Justice Toffoli has stepped down as rapporteur of the Banco Master case, a new poll suggests Lula would lose in a runoff among São Paulo voters, and the STF will review a request to extend the dividend distributions deadline
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Feb 2026

Following reports that Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice Dias Toffoli may have benefited from payments made by banker Daniel Vorcaro, he has stepped down as rapporteur of the Banco Master case. Justice André Mendonça has been appointed as the new rapporteur. Yesterday, the Paraná Institute also...

TOPIC OF THE WEEK: Georgia notches another record-breaking year in tourism
CAUCASUS / CENTRAL ASIA · Report · 13 Feb 2026

Tourism in Georgia has traditionally been an important income generator for the economy, having brought on average about 8.6 percent of GDP annually over 2010-2025 (and about 12.5 percent of GDP in both 2024 and 2025). Naturally, then, the events of the last two years spanning the adoption of the...

Israel macro preview: key inflation and growth data ahead
ISRAEL · In Brief · 13 Feb 2026

Next week finally provides hard data to work with. On Sunday, the Central Bureau of Statistics will publish the January CPI, the first inflation print of 2026. On Monday, it will release the Q4 and full-year 2025 national accounts, which will allow a more comprehensive assessment of how the econo...

Economic statistics could look even more puzzling this year
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 13 Feb 2026

The Bureau of National Statistics has begun releasing January data, and the first reports are as puzzling as ever. With m-o-m data missing for many time series and, in some cases, m-o-m and y-o-y figures showing growing discrepancies, it looks like we can expect more statistical mysteries this ye...

A pound of beans
BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 12 Feb 2026

This Special Report explores the effects of agricultural production on food-at-home inflation. The topic has become increasingly relevant when we consider two aspects: the first is the Brazilian agricultural sector robust growth , accompanied by productivity gains; the second is the importance of...

Excellent January inflation data (with some footnotes), analysts expect a base rate cut soon
HUNGARY · In Brief · 12 Feb 2026

The headline rate of CPI-inflation was 0.3% mom, 2.1% yoy in January, the latter sharply down from December's 3.3% yoy. Core inflation also fell, to 2.7% yoy from the previous month's 3.8% yoy, and non-fuel inflation dropped to 3.4% yoy, from 4.5% yoy in December.This sharp drop was no surprise a...

A new poll reinforces the polarization between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, Lula and Motta meet to discuss the 6x1 work schedule issue, and tensions are expected to rise in Brasília regarding the Banco Master case
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 12 Feb 2026

Yesterday, a new round of the Genial/Quaest presidential polling was released. The poll reinforces the polarized landscape between President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Lula leads in both first- and second-round scenarios. The absence of São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas from the poll...

Next move most probably a 100 bps cut
TURKEY · Report · 12 Feb 2026

The CBRT held its first Inflation Report meeting of the year today. As expected, the Bank kept its interim targets unchanged at 16% for 2026 and 9% for 2027, while setting an interim target of 8% for 2028. But the Bank revised its 2026 year-end inflation forecast range upward by two percentage po...

Bi-Weekly Economic News Summary
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 11 Feb 2026

Jan 29Government: The US Chevron promises to take measures to ensure reliable and safe operation of facilities in the Tengiz oil field. LUKOIL: Russian company has signed an agreement with US Carlyle on the sale of its foreign assets, excluding those which are based in Kazakhstan. Jan 30 Agency f...

Dominican government issues sovereign bonds for USD 2.75 billion
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · In Brief · 11 Feb 2026

As part of the financing strategy for the 2026 public budget, the Dominican Government issued sovereign bonds totalling USD 2.75 billion. According to the Ministry of Finance and Economy, the placement was structured in two tranches: USD 1.25 billion with an 8-year maturity at a 5.75% yield, and ...

Discussions on the 6x1 workweek bill continue, the House approved the urgent status request for the Redata bill, and the STF may review the case regarding the TCU’s SecexConsenso secretariat
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 Feb 2026

The President of the Lower House, Hugo Motta (Republicanos–PB), said yesterday that a constitutional amendment is the “best way” to address the reduction of the workweek, as it allows for broader debate. On Monday, Motta submitted the constitutional amendment proposal (PEC) that would eliminate t...

Impeaching the nation’s two highest officials: accountability, dynastic competition and the governance stakes for the Philippines
PHILIPPINES · Report · 11 Feb 2026

The simultaneous impeachment controversies involving the Philippine President and Vice President reflect more than constitutional procedure — they reveal a struggle over succession, institutional credibility, and democratic maturity. While impeachment is designed to enforce accountability, its de...

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