A rough start for the fall in foreign relations

HUNGARY - In Brief 05 Sep 2021 by Istvan Racz

Relations between Hungary and the Western world have not been especially friendly in recent times. Yet it quite rarely happens that the potential negative consequences could be as tangible and significant as in this fall: the government has to strike a difficult deal, against massive headwinds, with the EU Commission on its RRF plan by September 30, and the European Court's decision whether the EU's new rule-of-law mechanism is in line with EU law is expected in October.Against that backdrop, it is no good news for Hungary that SPD (the social democrats) are now in a winning position against CDU, as regards opinion polls for the upcoming German election, due on September 26. Whether inside or outside the European People's Party, this is not at all indifferent for Fidesz. SPD is openly hostile to Fidesz, unlike the conservative CDU-CSU. Even if SPD eventually continued their coalition government with CDU after the election, which is not at all certain, a different leading force of that coalition could make a major difference in policies. So the risk is there that it may become more difficult for Fidesz to manage its relations with the German government, so far their main protector within the EU.A further factor to mention is that the EU started its autumn season with a meeting of LIBE (the home affairs, justice and citizen rights' committee of the European Parliament), at which the conclusion was that the rule-of-law situation is not improving, or rather it is deteriorating, in Poland and Hungary. The EP have claimed this for a while, but this time around the Commission member responsible for rule-of-law affairs, Didier Reynders, spoke in exact unison with the mainstrea...

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