Aggressive cut, fuzzy statement

TURKEY - Report 11 Dec 2025 by Murat Ucer

The CBRT/MPC cut the policy rate by 150 bps to 38% at the last meeting of the year (see chart). While the move is sort of “in line with expectations”, it is probably fair to say that it certainly is “deeper than hoped for” by a good majority of analysts, including this author. Put differently, the CBRT/MPC missed another good opportunity to send a hawkish – or at least somewhat cautious -- signal of sorts by delivering less than a 150 bps cut.

Now read on...

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