Battered from Many Fronts

SOUTH AFRICA - Forecast 18 Oct 2013 by Iraj Abedian

Executive Summary We maintain our previous forecast for subdued economic activity in South Africa over the medium-term, with inflation adjusted gross domestic product growth recording 2.0 percent in 2013 and 2.4 percent in 2014. The labor market is poised to remain weak as we expect companies to postpone hiring more staff due to (1) unfavorable labor market conditions and (2) subdued economic activity. Against this backdrop, misery (a combination of unemployment and inflation) in the South African economy has been on the increase. Inflationary pressures are increasing due to increased input...

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