Public security as a political asset and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 08 Dec 2025 by Murillo de Aragão and Cristiano Noronha

This is the penultimate week of activity in the National Congress. In the Lower House, lawmakers may vote on the bill that regulates the Tax Reform and another that deals with tax benefits. In the Senate, the bill taxing betting companies and fintechs may complete its legislative process. In the economy, the highlight is the Copom meeting on interest rates. The Supreme Federal Court (STF) will begin hearing a case regarding the impeachment process for members of the Court.

This week's Talking Points:

- Flavio's candidacy and the center's strategic deadlock.

 - Jair Bolsonaro's chosen candidate.

 - Undefined slates in Brazil's three largest states.

- Lula is expected to end 2025 with a negative popularity balance.

 - Congress approves the 2026 Budget Guidelines Bill and sets a timeline for earmark payments.

 - Congress could leverage public security as a political asset

 - A triangle of conflicts.

 - Sensitive issues regarding the Supreme Court return to Congress's radar.

Now read on...

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