The political and economic consequences of COVID-19 and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 23 Mar 2020 by Murillo de Aragão and Cristiano Noronha

New measures to mitigate the economic effects of the coronavirus are expected. CNI/Ibope may release a new opinion poll about the government. The Lower House will implement its online voting system. On Wednesday, the IBGE releases partial inflation results for March (IPCA-15).

This week’s Talking Points:

• The political and economic consequences of COVID-19: The coronavirus pandemic has changed the political, economic and social environment in the entire world, with important consequences for Brazil.
• 48% of Sao Paulo residents disapprove of Bolsonaro: Disapproval of the government in the largest city of the country is additional evidence of the turn taken by public opinion regarding the Bolsonaro administration.
• The impact of the coronavirus on the legislative agenda: The crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has completely changed Congress’s agenda.
• Polarization is likely to intensify: Both the risk of collapse in the health system and the signs of a strong economic recession create a psycho-social environment favorable to radicalization.
• The banging of pots and pans returns: By downplaying the coronavirus, Bolsonaro contributed to the erosion of his own image.
• Coronavirus increases tension between governors and Bolsonaro: The governors of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro – the two states most affected by the coronavirus crisis – have sought to take the lead in combating the pandemic.
• The Executive and the Judiciary intend to create a National Committee to fight the coronavirus: The joint effort of the branches of government is due to the increase in cases in the country and the need for a Unified Health System (SUS) response, requiring the adoption of extraordinary and fast measures by federal managers.

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