Covid update: the infection curve remains low and flat for now

HUNGARY - In Brief 05 Aug 2021 by Istvan Racz

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The return of Covid in a 4th wave with the Delta variant within a few weeks has been identified as a very likely, or more accurately as an unavoidable, event both by government speakers and by independent experts. Essentially all of the foregoing expect the 4th wave to kick in around late September as latest, when the weather starts to cool down normally, and they are forecasting the source of the infections to be mainly those unvaccinated people who are returning home from holiday trips, predominantly from Mediterranean seasides.Recent announcements even revealed the news that the concentration of the Covid virus is increasing in sewage water in several major domestic settlements, although not with a dramatic speed.However, the actual infection data has failed to reflect any pick-up by the epidemic so far. The daily infections curve remains flat at a very low level, as follows, according to the official data collected by worldometers.com:For sure, reading recent developments form this chart is difficult, because of the extreme low values. In fact, the number of daily infections (in terms of a 7-day moving average) reached a cyclical bottom at 30 on July 7, following the skyrocketing 3rd wave. From there, it rose slowly to 60 by July 28, and then it has retreated to 54 by this morning's daily report. This is hardly anything, of course. The hit-ratio of Covid tests has been a stable 0.9% lately, the daily reinfection rate is standing at 0.16%, the stock number of recorded active cases is falling systematically and is currently at 29 thousand, but only 79 of them are treated in hospital and 11 Covid patients are in severe conditions, according to the latest daily report....