Economic Scenarios: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

ARGENTINA - Report 02 Feb 2015 by Esteban Fernández Medrano and Domingo Cavallo
Executive Summary For the first time in decades, the electoral year and the political transition toward “a more rational administration” is helping to stabilize the economy. There is a broad consensus that any of the candidates who are leading the polls will make the necessary changes to improve the economic situation. Over the past few months the economy has registered some signs of stabilization in real and nominal variables. The GDP drop and inflation have slowed. The stabilization of the nominal exchange rate has depressed economic activity but has also helped cool inflation and moderat...

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