EL SALVADOR: Still All About Growth

CENTRAL AMERICA - Report 23 Apr 2015 by Francisco de Paula Gutiérrez and Felix Delgado

Executive Summary The outlook for El Salvador´s economy is still bleak, despite minor improvements in certain variables amid favorable external conditions.Real GDP is expected to grow 2.3%-2.5% in 2015 and 2016. That’s a bit of an improvement over previous years, but insufficient to significantly lift general living standards. The fiscal situation is a major challenge, as the government deficit, including pension payments, is forecast to stay above 3% of nominal GDP, keeping the debt-to-GDP ratio above 60%.Private investment and savings remain relatively low, and dynamism in production is m...

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