Feeling the Squeeze

SOUTH AFRICA - Report 18 Feb 2014 by Iraj Abedian

As was the case in other emerging markets economies (EMEs) hit by the exodus of capital – due to a reduction of monetary stimulus in the US – the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) swung into action by raising the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 5.5% per year in February 2014 (see Graph 1). Given its inflation targeting approach in conducting monetary policy, the SARB got terrified by a significant deterioration in its inflation outlook based on a weakening rand assumption. However, in such turbulent times, the best bet for the SARB would have been to remain in monitoring mode ...

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