Foreign holdings of Russian sovereign debt up

RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - In Brief 30 May 2019 by Alex Teddy

The Ministry of Finance announced that foreign holdings of debt are sharply up in 2019. The total is over USD 50 billion in RUB and FX denominations. The risk of US sanctions has been reduced. The government is keen to make the most of this positive feeling. It is speculated that a new Eurobond will be issued by the end of 2019. The Ministry of Finance told Bloomberg their theory is that the more countries that hold Russia's debt then the less likely the US will be to impose sanctions.This is the best sovereign debt news for 5 years. But storm clouds remain. The US is mulling two new sanctions packages called DASKA and DETER. Future issuances of sovereign debt will be problematic if these bills pass. This threat does not seem to alter Russia's foreign policy.Last year foreigners withdrew more than USD 9 billion in RUB denominated bonds due to sanctions. Blackrock and California State Pension Fund have billions in Russian debt. The US knows that by hurting Russia it hurts itself.

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