GULF WEEKLY: Oil rises in tight market, Sharjah issues sukuk, Oman’s current account returns to surplus, Houthis talk peace in Riyadh

GULF COUNTRIES - Report 15 Sep 2023 by Justin Alexander

A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines:

* Brent crude rose to $94 as forecasts point to a potential Q4 supply gap of over 3m b/d.
* The IEA and OPEC clashed over longer-term forecasts; the IEA expects demand to peak this decade.
* Turkey criticized plans for an India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor announced at the G20.
* The Corridor, including rail/shipping and a hydrogen pipeline, would be good for Saudi and the UAE.
* The US Congress was formally notified of the planned US-Iran prisoner swap in Qatar.
* Saudi Arabia and the US may partner on cobalt supplies but a defense deal with Raytheon fell through.
* Houthi officials arrived in Riyadh for Omani-mediated Yemen peace talks.
* Sharjah sold a $750m 10.5-year sukuk, and a UAE federal dollar bond is expected soon.
* Mubadala and ADIA are increasing their allocations to private credit, via Blue Owl and Barclays.
* Oman achieved its first current account surplus in 8 years, at 6.4% of GDP, and FDI inflows at 5%.
* Oman’s VAT revenue rose to 1.2% of GDP in 2022, its first full year of implementation.
* Oman’s July fiscal data showed controlled expenditure but a slowdown in non-oil revenue growth.
* Oman’s EDO Gas was assigned ratings ahead of a debut sukuk.
* Prisoners in Bahrain ended their 5-week hunger strike as the crown prince visited the US.
* Turkey indicated that the oil pipeline from Iraq should be able to reopen soon.
* Databank updates: Oman fiscal and BoP, Saudi inflation, Dubai PMI, Saudi & Qatar industrial production.

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