GULF WEEKLY: UAE F-35s pass Senate, Morocco normalises, Qatar budgets conservatively

GULF COUNTRIES - Report 11 Dec 2020 by Rory Fyfe and Justin Alexander

A skimmable summary of key developments overlaid with our analysis and links to further information. Headlines include:
● The Gulf Summit may happen in Riyadh rather than Bahrain to facilitate a Qatar deal.
● The JCPOA was a central focus at the Manama Dialogue and Europe could play a key roll in mitigating Gulf concerns about a US return to the agreement.
● Morocco will normalise with Israeli in return for US recognition of its control of Western Sahara.
● Saudi Prince Turki al-Faisal clashed with Israel’s foreign minister in the Manama Dialogue.
● Aramco hired Moelis to advise it on a possible $10bn sale of a stake in its pipelines.
● The UAE’s PMI was in contraction for a second month on weaker output and confidence.
● UAE and Bahrain both approved Coronavirus vaccines, as UAE active cases hit a record high.
● The Senate narrowly approved the controversial sale of F-35 jets and drones to the UAE.
● Qatar based its 2021 budget on a $40 oil price and sees a -6.5% of GDP deficit.
● Oman formed a company to hold its stake in PDO and issue bonds to offset budget spending.
● The World Bank launched a recovery framework for Lebanon, as domestic politics got tenser.

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