​HEADS UP: Military incursion appears imminent

TURKEY - In Brief 09 Oct 2019 by Atilla Yesilada

The chairman of Presidential Communications Commission Prof Fahrettin Altun tweeted a few hours ago that the Turkish military in conjunction with allied Syrian rebels will cross the Syrian border to the East of Euphrates to initiate the control of the safe zone ”soon”. Syrian Kurdish sources complained of heavy shelling and drone attacks in several locations adding that their forces didn’t respond, a complaint confirmed by the impartial Syrian Observatory. Additionally, I can confirm a convoy of several dozens of armored vehicles heading towards the Syrian border, as well as 14K heavily armed Free Syrian Army troops being relocated to the are to aid the incursion. The Military Chiefs of Staff is yet to disclose the objective of the first stage, but two reliable press sources second my findings in yesterday’s Market Brief.The campaign will take start in the 120 km are between the Syrian Kurdish towns of Raz-al-Ain and Tel Abyad, largely focusing on PKK and PYG-YPD military targets, attempting to take control of a zone 30 kms deep. Turkish military leaked the intel that it expects Kurds to put up stiff resistance at first, but facing impending defeat, to pull back. It added that Kurds already finished a secondary defensive line around the former of ISIS capital of Raqqa in South. I want to close with two important warnings. Frist, Senator Graham had threatened to propose a bi-partisan sanctions bill the moment Turkish military sets foot on Syrian soil. Additionally, both Iran and Russia have expressed objections to the military incursion.Some Turkish sources already express concern of one or some of these actors provoking sleeper ISIS or PKK cells in Turkey to new terror...

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