Industrial Production: Another Weak Month

BRAZIL ECONOMICS - Report 02 Apr 2014 by Marcelo Gazzano, Cristina Pinotti and Affonso Pastore

Industrial output in February grew 0.4%, after climbing 3.8% in January, resulting in growth over the previous 12 months of 5% (Graph 1). Because the Carnival holiday fell in February in 2013 and in March this year, February 2014 had two more working days than the year before, so the base for comparison plays an important role in explaining the increase of the annual rate. With the February result, the carry-over of industry for the quarter is 1.2%, reducing the probability of negative GDP growth in the first three months this year, even if output in March contracts. Nevertheless, GDP growt...

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