Inflation Eases, But Best Is Likely Over

TURKEY - Report 03 Aug 2015 by Murat Ucer

Consumer price inflation moved little in July (0.1%), m/m, broadly in line with the consensus. This led to another easing in the 12-month rate to 6.8%, from 7.2% in June. Food price inflation stayed broadly unchanged at some 9.3%, y/y, while underlying inflation dynamics finally showed some moderation as well. Core inflation (I-index) eased to 7.3%, y/y, from 7.5% in June, while service inflation (our estimate) fell to around 8.6%, from 8.9% a month earlier (driven largely by transportation). The decline in D-PPI inflation to 5.6% from 6.7%, y/y, is also encouraging, pointing to a moderatio...

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