MPC Pendulum Swaying Towards a Rate Hike

SOUTH AFRICA - Report 14 Jul 2014 by Iraj Abedian

The outlook on South Africa’s consumer price inflation has deteriorated more than the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) had anticipated. Meanwhile, South Africa’s economic growth outlook has suffered and continues to do so as a result of, inter alia, labor-related production stoppages. Despite the predicament of elevated inflation pressures coupled with a pedestrian growth outlook (at best), chances for a repo rate hike are high as the SARB meets this week. The May 2014 print of headline inflation recorded a 6.6% year-on-year (y/y) rate, which is 0.5 percentage point quicker than that in Ap...

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