Oops! Inflation was down again in June

HUNGARY - In Brief 07 Jul 2026 by Istvan Racz

The headline rate of CPI-inflation fell marginally in June, to 1.7% yoy from the previous month’s 1.8%, defying analyst and MNB expectations of a small rise, to 1.9-2%. It looks lüke the strong forint is indeed very powerful, whereas normalising energy prices and the global food price cycle are also supportive to disinflation.So, heads up for the prospective 25 bps base rate cut in July, and an increasingly likely further -25 bps in August, in line with Mr. Varga’s prediction given two weeks ago!

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