Political and Economic Update

TURKEY - Report 16 Jul 2017 by Murat Ucer and Atilla Yesilada

The Justice March and the first anniversary of the attempted coup have been completed without violence. The odds of sudden military strike in Syria also remain low. Political risks remain acceptable in Turkey in the short-term. At the first anniversary of the coup attempt, Turkey is worse-off in many ways. The first section counts our losses, highlighting AKP’s mistakes in handling the post-coup transition. The next section makes predictions about the second year of the coup. The fundamental objective of exterminating Gulenists and PKK is not in sight, which would lead to a hardening att...

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