Politics: Crime Data Look Good but Don’t Add Up

MEXICO - Report 24 Feb 2015 by Guillermo Valdes and Esteban Manteca

Executive Summary The trend of recent years toward a reduction in the rate of intentional homicide in Mexico extended through 2014, according to the report the National Public Security System (SNSP) released last week. However, the information should be regarded as preliminary because Mexico’s National Statistics Office (Inegi) publishes the most solid and reliable crime data, and its report for 2014 has yet to be released. A comparison of the two sets of data shows that SNSP records under-reported the number of killings by roughly 18% in the past four years; assuming that the trend of past...

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