Polls show Flávio Bolsonaro has a slight advantage ahead of the runoff, activities in Congress will be limited this week, and the government will rely on executive action

BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 20 Oct 2026 by Murillo de Aragão and Cristiano Noronha

Six days before the runoff, polls released yesterday (Oct. 19) show Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) ahead, although the race has tightened compared with the immediate aftermath of the first round. Flávio continues to hold a slight edge, but the election remains open. Rejection rates for both candidates are high and similar, leaving little room for movement. In Congress, activity will be limited this week. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) dropped plans to bring the Public Security Constitutional Amendment (PEC) to a vote before the runoff. With Congress largely inactive, the government is expected to rely on executive action. Measures under consideration include signing into law a bill raising the annual revenue cap for individual microentrepreneurs (MEIs) from R$81,000 to R$110,000 and submitting a proposal for fare-free public transportation on weekends.

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