President Medina gave up on re-election

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC - In Brief 22 Jul 2019 by Pavel Isa
In a speech to the Nation, President Danilo Medina announced that he will not seek re-election. Therefore, there won't be any attempt to amend the Constitution. In our reading, although he did not recognize it, the President surrendered to the circumstances and accepted that he had no chance of achieving reform. In his speech, Medina strongly criticized the group that supports Leonel Fernández, while calling on the PLD to renew itself and seek new leadership. That means that the division in the PLD is very deep, that the wounds left by the conflict will be very difficult to heal, that the PLD will be divided into the elections and that Medina will not support Fernández. It is possible that Medina decides to strongly support perhaps openly, a precandidate different from Fernández, seeking to avoid leaving him alone on the court. Despite this, we think that Leonel Fernández will win the nomination, and that he will face Luis Abinader of the PRM. The elections will be highly polarized and at this moment it is very difficult to predict results.

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