27 Aug 2013
by Vladimir Dubrovskiy and Dmytro Boyarchuk
Executive SummaryRussia is actively intimidating Ukraine, in light of the November Eastern Partnership Summit in Vilnius, where Kyiv expects to sign the EU Association Agreement. In mid-August, Ukrainian exports were effectively stopped for one week at the Russian border. The conflict has seemingly eased, but Moscow undoubtedly will keep menacing Kyiv, to warn it about how painful “life without Russia” might be. Given Ukraine’s already-shaky economic position, an unfriendly advance from Russia, even if temporary, will only make the country’s position more precarious.The gas issue also poses...
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