Strong defense exports and weak imports reduce the trade deficit

ISRAEL - In Brief 13 Sep 2023 by Jonathan Katz

Industrial exports continue to expand parallel to weak import growth. In June-August, industrial exports expanded by 8.2% saar (trend) following growth of 7.5% in the previous three months. Most of this expansion is centered around defense exports (transportation equipment, electronic products) although there is no such defined category in the CBS numbers. Meanwhile, some imports are contracting, including both consumer imports (down 1.8% in the past three months following a decline of 2.3%) and imports of raw materials (-5% in Q2), while imports of investment goods expanded by 15% saar. Bottom line: The trade deficit has declined by 6.3bn USD in Jan-Aug 23 compared to last year, reflecting a 22% contraction. This should be reflected in a steady and strong CA surplus (data for Q2 to be released today), an underlining factor which is shekel supportive.

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