Synthesis of the Brazilian Economy

BRAZIL ECONOMICS - Report 02 Mar 2026 by Alexandre Schwartsman, Cristina Pinotti and Diego Brandao

February, an even shorter month due to the Carnival holidays, was marked by heightened tension among the three branches of government, with no indication that the worst is over − meaning more uncertainty and political risks lie ahead. The main source of turbulence stems not only from the progressive exposure of the fraudulent roots of the Banco Master case, but also the renewed momentum of the INSS Joint Parliamentary Commission of Inquiry (CPMI), which has also been generating significant tremors.

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