The curious case of CBRT reserves, a recap

TURKEY - Report 29 Mar 2019 by Murat Ucer

CBRT reserves have been the markets’ focus since last week because of substantial drops in net reserves that could not be attributed to the familiar factors. As a lot of numbers have been floating around since then, we thought it would be useful to provide some background on where these numbers are coming from, and what unresolved mysteries still remain.

Movements in net reserves can be traced from the CBRT balance sheet data, which is published on a weekly and daily basis, in two different formats. The weekly data comes with almost a week lag – yesterday, we saw the March 22nd data -- and the daily data with one-day lag -- each day, after 2:30 pm, we get to see the balance sheet of the previous day. The obvious advantage of working with daily data is that it allows monitoring of net reserves on a higher frequency basis. For instance, we more or less knew how much net reserves had dropped through March 22nd, before we saw yesterday’s weekly data. The latter comes in more detail, and cannot be fully replicated using the daily data, the two are sufficiently close.

Now read on...

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