The Long, Hot Summer

TURKEY - Report 05 Jul 2015 by Murat Ucer and Atilla Yesilada
Executive Summary Turkey’s plans to invade several border towns in Syria are for real, but delayed because of objections from the military and the U.S. These may be revived in August, or if Kurdish militia or ISIS capture critical territory. More broadly, AKP is signaling a change in its Syria policy, focusing its efforts on fighting ISIS, which may elevate terror risk at home or complicate coalition formation. MHP leader Bahceli’s hatred of HDP caused him to award the Speakership to the AKP candidate, but he is still not willing to enter a coalition with AKP. This leaves the AKP-CHP coalit...

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