The race begins with Lula and Bolsonaro in the lead

BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 22 Aug 2018 by Murillo de Aragão and Cristiano Noronha

The first Datafolha poll released after the official registration of presidential candidates reveals a scenario that is very similar to the one presented by Ibope earlier this week. In the scenario without Lula (PT), Jair Bolsonaro (PSL) is in the lead, with Marina Silva (REDE) in second. Ciro Gomes (PDT) and Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB) are in a technical tie for third place. The absence of the former president in the race leads his voters to split between Marina, Ciro and Fernando Haddad (PT). A significant portion of Lula’s voters still have not chosen an alternative candidate, which is evident because his absence leads to the doubling of blank, null and undecided votes. ​

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