The South African Reserve Bank remains dovish following the country’s general elections

SOUTH AFRICA - Report 23 May 2019 by Iraj Abedian

The Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee has once again decided to leave the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 6.75%, leaving the prime rate at 10.25%. The last time the Reserve Bank adjusted the repo rate was in November 2018 when it increased it from 6.50% to the current 6.75%, making this the third consecutive pause in the rate change.

Yesterday the latest inflation numbers by Statistics South Africa came out and they showed that headline CPI had moderated slightly to 4.4% y/y in April 2019 from 4.5% y/y in March. With fuel prices that have been on upward trajectory for most of 2019 due to oil prices recovering from their end-2018 slump, transport continues to be the largest contributor towards rising general prices, with an inflation rate of 7.4% y/y in April.

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