23 Jun 2013
by Murat Ucer and Atilla Yesilada
Executive SummaryWe know our readers have their hands full with bigger issues like China, Brazil and the QE exit, so to save on reading time, we summarized our baseline political scenarios in light of some FAQs:Gezi Parki and related demonstrations: 55% chance they will wind down over the summer, but 65% chance that they will erupt again in the fall, with the participation of Kurds, and possibly anti-war protestors concerned about Syria. Upside:A comprehensive Alevite and Kurdish rights package submitted to parliament.Elections: AKP will win local, presidential and general elections with a ...
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