Weekly Tracker: May 10-16

TURKEY - Report 10 May 2015 by Murat Ucer and Atilla Yesilada

Executive Summary

Turkish election campaigns have mutated into a three-way mudslinging match between AKP-MHP and HDP, while CHP has been marketing hugely expensive populist promises. We have a large number of polls, but they don’t increase our comfort with predictions.HDP is hovering right at the 10% border. Its qualification to parliament may deprive AKP off the chance to form a majority government.

An influential name in CHP claimed the Turkish Army was getting ready to enter Syria, which we find preposterous. However, Turkey and Saudi Arabia are getting deeply involv...

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