Weekly Tracker: September 14-20

TURKEY - Report 14 Sep 2014 by Murat Ucer and Atilla Yesilada
Executive Summary The politics section starts with sketching the “Big Picture”, which predicts that Turkey will be stuck between two major conflicts and forced to choose sides at the expense of its diplomatic flexibility and economic expansion. We argue that unless Turkey fully cooperates, there is no way to “degrade and destroy” ISIS. American attempts to persuade Ankara to join its coalition have failed so far, because AKP has an existential dilemma about ISIS. Turkish prevarication may benefit PKK, which may gain new status in Syrian Kurdistan and sabotage the Peace Process. Meanwhile, t...

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