What Xi Jinping won’t do

CHINA ADVISORY - Report 28 Apr 2025 by Andrew Collier

Many outsiders tend to view Xi Jinping as a rational economic actor who implements policy with an authoritarian hand, who would make the same decisions economically that the U.S. would. However, that is not always true. The priorities of the Chinese state often differ from those of the U.S. Therefore, if we take a closer look at the underlying assumptions of how China functions, we come up with different answers. To that end, in this report, I have compiled a short list of things I believe Xi Jinping won’t do, and they are 1) China won’t attack Taiwan anytime soon; 2) Beijing won't supply a bazooka stimulus; and 3) Xi won’t allow the currency to weaken.

Now read on...

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