Country Analysts

Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko Advice

In The News

Recent Country Insights

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Incoming storm for Pension Reform and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 13 May 2019
The government may send Congress a plan for the states. In the Lower House, several important provisional measures are on the agenda, such as the measure that reorganizes the structure of the government, and the regulatory framework for sanitation. President Jair Bolsonaro travels to the US. Stud...

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Pension Reform progress and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 06 May 2019
Governors will be in Brasilia this week discussing, among other points, the fate of the states and municipalities in the Pension Reform proposal. The special congressional committee charged with analyzing the proposal will begin to function this week. In the economy, we highlight the Central Bank...

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Pension reform calculations and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 29 Apr 2019
A week of reduced legislative activity due to the Wednesday holiday (Labor Day). Labor unions organize demonstrations throughout the country against Pension Reform. President Bolsonaro may sign provisional measures to stimulate economy. A reduction of the import tax for capital goods may be annou...

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Arko poll reflects improved Executive-Legislative relationship
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 29 Apr 2019 1 response
The relationship between the Executive and Legislative branches has improved. This is the conclusion drawn from an Arko Advice poll conducted among 109 federal representatives on April 23-25. Positive evaluations of the government increased from 28.43% to 38.53% in April, while negative evaluati...

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The CCJ approves the constitutionality of Pension Reform
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 24 Apr 2019
​On Tuesday afternoon, April 23, the Constitution and Justice Committee approved the report by Rep. Marcelo Freitas (PSL) with 48 favorable votes and 18 against. The result was significant and reveals the strength of the Centrão. Four points were removed from the original text: 1) the end of F...

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Editing Pension Reform and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 22 Apr 2019
The main item on the agenda in the Lower House is the Pension Reform vote in the Constitution and Justice Committee (CCJ). The government is dealing with the risk of a truckers’ strike. On Monday, the government may announce a set of measures to increase productivity, employment and economic acti...

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Postponement of the Pension Reform in the CCJ
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 17 Apr 2019
The postponement of the Pension Reform vote for the next week reduces the chance of the Lower House concluding the vote before the recess (July 18). According to a timetable drawn up by Arko Advice, if all the minimum procedural deadlines were met, and without any hitch in the political articu...

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Without a governing coalition, the agenda is compromised and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 15 Apr 2019
​Jair Bolsonaro will meet with ministers and Petrobras representatives to discuss the company’s pricing policy. On Tuesday, April 16, the Lower House CCJ may vote on report by Representative Marcelo Freitas (PSL-MG) on the Pension Reform proposal. Members of the Centrão were pressuring for a vote...

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In his first 100 days, Bolsonaro splits public opinion
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 08 Apr 2019
President Jair Bolsonaro will present an overview of the first 100 days of his administration on Thursday, April 11. He will also meet with the national presidents of six political parties. In the Lower House, we highlight the report on Pension Reform that will be presented in the Constitution an...

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