Country Analysts

Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko Advice

In The News

Recent Country Insights

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Pension reform proposal expected for Congress in February and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 14 Jan 2019
Executive Summary The Ministry of the Economy is expected to present the Pension Reform proposal to President Bolsonaro. The idea is to send it to Congress in February. Bolsonaro meets with the President of Argentina, Mauricio Macri. On Thursday, the Central Bank releases the GDP preview (IBC-Br)...

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Elections in Congress and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 07 Jan 2019
Executive Summary President Jair Bolsonaro holds the second cabinet meeting since his inauguration. Ministers will present measures that will be executed in January. Political negotiations continue ahead of the elections for the presidencies of the Lower House and the Senate. This week’s Talking ...

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Brazil Politics Conference Call: Challenges facing the new government
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 18 Dec 2018
How will Brazil President-elect Bolsonaro's new cabinet advance the direction for the country? What are the concerns about the new administration's ability to navigate the press and public administration? How will the final few weeks in this session of Congress set the stage for the legislative a...

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A new communications model and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 17 Dec 2018
Executive Summary On Wednesday, Jair Bolsonaro meets with his cabinet team. On the same day, the Public Ministry of Rio hears Flávio Bolsonaro’s former parliamentary advisory, Fabrício José de Queiroz, who, according to Coaf, has been involved in suspicious financial activity. Congress votes on t...

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Bolsonaro’s relations with Congress and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 10 Dec 2018 1 response
Executive Summary This is almost the last week of legislative activity in the Lower House before the congressional recess. There are a set of bills on the voting agenda which, if approved, could generate an impact of around R$ 47 billion over the next few years. Jair Bolsonaro will be cleared by ...

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Bolsonaro’s cabinet and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 03 Dec 2018
Executive Summary Congress enters its last month of activity before the recess. Among the bills on the agenda are the budget, transfer of rights, real estate contracts and the positive registry. Meetings are scheduled between President-elect Jair Bolsonaro (PSL) and party leaders. Bolsonaro is ex...

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Risks for the next government and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 26 Nov 2018
Executive Summary Wednesday, November 28, is the deadline for President Temer to sanction or veto the salary increase for Supreme Court ministers. The fiscal impact in 2019 could reach R$ 4.1 billion. President-elect Jair Bolsonaro (PSL) may conclude the selection of his cabinet team. On Friday, ...

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Negotiations for the presidency of the Lower House and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 19 Nov 2018
Executive Summary The election for the presidency of the Lower House is one of the main items on the agenda this week; Rodrigo Maia (DEM) meets with recently elected congressional representatives in Brasília. Labor unions will demonstrate against Pension Reform. In the Lower House and Senate, imp...

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Bolsonaro in Brasília again and to present elected governors
BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 12 Nov 2018 1 response
This will be an intense week in the Lower House and Senate, despite the Thursday (November 15) holiday. President-elect Jair Bolsonaro (PSL) will travel to Brasília again, where he will meet with Minister Rosa Weber (TSE). Bolsonaro and Paulo Guedes present elected governors with the new governme...