BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Why the presidential race remains open and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 Jul 2026
The party convention period, during which parties define their candidates and alliances, begins today, July 20. On Saturday, July 25, the Liberal Party (PL) will formally nominate Flávio Bolsonaro for president. The following day, July 26, the Social Democratic Party (PSD) will formally nominate ...
The party convention period begins today, the PL will officially nominate Flávio Bolsonaro on Saturday (July 25), and the 25% U.S. tariff will take effect on Wednesday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 Jul 2026
Party conventions begin today, July 20, and will continue through August 5. During this period, political parties will meet to select their candidates and establish coalitions. On Saturday (July 25), the Liberal Party (PL) will officially nominate Flávio Bolsonaro for president at its convention ...
VP Alckmin calls U.S. tariffs unfair and unwarranted, tariffs will be a central topic in the upcoming presidential elections, and the party convention period begins Monday, July 20
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Jul 2026
“Unfair and unwarranted”. That is how Vice President Geraldo Alckmin described the U.S. government’s decision to impose a 25% tariff on Brazilian exports. According to the vice president, the administration is preparing a program to support the affected sectors. Alckmin also said the government c...
The U.S. decided to impose the 25% tariff on Brazilian exports, Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy faces several setbacks, and Justice Dino demanded that all political parties report on their congressional funds
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Jul 2026
As expected, the United States confirmed a 25% tariff on Brazilian exports. The measure has quickly become politicized, and President Lula is expected to use it as a campaign issue by placing responsibility on Flávio Bolsonaro. Another setback for Flávio Bolsonaro came from the latest Genial/Quae...
The Senate approved the Freight MP, it also approved a PEC on special retirement rules for community health workers, and the U.S. should decide today whether to impose the 25% tariff on Brazilian exports
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Jul 2026
Yesterday, the Senate approved the provisional measure (MP) changing the rules governing minimum road freight rates, but without the proposed monthly minimum wage of R$5,000 for truck drivers. The text now goes to the president for sanction. The Senate also approved a proposed constitutional amen...
The Freight MP may be put to a vote today in the Senate, truck drivers called for a strike yesterday but participation was limited, and Justice Moraes suspended Flávio Bolsonaro’s visitation rights to his father’s house
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 Jul 2026
The government leader in the National Congress, Senator Randolfe Rodrigues (PT-AP), said yesterday that the Freight MP (Provisional Measure 1,343/26) will be ready for a floor vote today (July 14). Leaders of independent truck drivers called for a strike starting at midnight on Monday in support ...
The political impact of Jair Bolsonaro's letter and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Jul 2026
The final week of activity in the National Congress began last Friday, ahead of the legislative recess. In the Senate, lawmakers may vote on the provisional measure establishing a minimum freight rate. Truck drivers are pressuring Congress to vote on the matter. Four presidential polls will be re...
This is the final week of legislative activity, the Senate may vote on the provisional measure on minimum freight rates, and the deadline for negotiations between Brazil and the U.S. on the tariffs ends on Wednesday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Jul 2026
Starting Friday (July 17), the National Congress will recess and resume activity on August 3. Upon return, however, lawmakers will maintain a reduced schedule due to the electoral period. The Senate may vote this week on Provisional Measure (MP) No. 1,343/26, which deals with minimum freight rate...
The Gecex approved the temporary maintenance of the 12% Export Tax on crude oil, next week will be the final week of legislative activity before the recess, and the U.S. will decide whether to implement the 25% tariff
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 10 Jul 2026
At a meeting held yesterday (July 9), the Executive Management Committee of the Chamber of Foreign Trade (Gecex) approved the temporary maintenance of the 12% Export Tax rate on crude oil. According to the committee, the measure was adopted in response to the deterioration of the international en...