BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
The União Progressista merger party has been formed, and Congress should resume at full speed next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Apr 2025
Yesterday, April 29, the União Brasil and Progressista Party (PP) formally launched a party federation, signaling support for the opposition despite both parties' holding ministerial positions in President Lula’s government. The federation will initially be jointly led by PP President Ciro Noguei...
The latest poll shows a slight decline in Lula’s disapproval rating, the União Progressista merger party should be formalized today, and Lula is expected to meet with union leaders today, ahead of the Labor Day holiday on May 1
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 29 Apr 2025
The latest Latam Pulse Brazil/AtlasIntel poll, released yesterday, April 28, shows a slight decline in President Lula’s (PT) disapproval rating. Although disapproval remains higher than approval, the negative rating fell from 53.6% to 50.1%. Today, União Brasil (UB) President Antônio Rueda and Pr...
The PL rethinks the Amnesty Bill and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Apr 2025
The Labor Day holiday on Thursday, May 1, is expected to slow political and judicial activity in Brasília. On Tuesday, April 29, the PP and União Brasil will formalize the creation of their new party federation, União Progressista. The PSDB and Podemos may also announce a merger. On Saturday, May...
This week will be slow due to the Labor Day holiday on May 1, the União Brasil and PP parties will officially form a party federation tomorrow, and PSD and Podemos parties may also formalize a merger
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Apr 2025
Due to the May 1 holiday (Labor Day) on Thursday, this will be a quiet week in both Congress and the Judiciary. Over the past two years, Lula has taken part in Labor Day events in São Paulo, but the rallies drew low turnout. As a result, his participation this year remains uncertain. Tomorrow, th...
Federico Siqueira is the new Minister of Communications, next week will be quiet due to the Labor Day holiday on May 1, and the União Brasil and PP parties will formalize a party federation on April 29
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 25 Apr 2025
President Lula has sworn in Frederico de Siqueira Filho as the new Minister of Communications. He stepped down as president of Telebras to take the position. Next week is expected to be a quiet one in Congress due to the May 1 Labor Day holiday. On Tuesday, April 29, the president of União Brasil...
The President of the INSS was dismissed yesterday, Hugo Motta said the income tax bill has “far greater appeal” than the amnesty bill, and Lula may appoint the president of Telebras as the new Minister of Communications
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Apr 2025
The President of the National Institute of Social Security (INSS), Alessandro Stefanutto, was dismissed yesterday, April 23. He had been suspended from his position earlier that same day by a court ruling that imposed a six-month removal following a joint operation by the Federal Police and the O...
Pedro Lucas declined Lula’s ministerial invitation, Lula will formally present the Public Security PEC today, and the Joint Committee on payroll-deductible loans for workers should be installed today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Apr 2025
The leader of União Brasil in the Lower House, Pedro Lucas (MA), has declined President Lula’s invitation to head the Ministry of Communications. Pedro Lucas’s refusal, in a way, weakens Senate President Alcolumbre, who coordinated the proposed reshuffle. Today President Lula will formally presen...
The battle for control of the political agenda and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 Apr 2025
Despite the Tiradentes holiday (April 21), a busy week is expected in Congress. President of the House, Hugo Motta (Republicanos-PB), is in talks with congressional leaders about the Amnesty Bill. The União Brasil caucus is debating the appointment of its leader, Pedro Lucas (MA), to the Ministry...
The opposition submitted the urgent status request for the Amnesty Bill, Pedro Lucas will meet with his party regarding his ministerial appointment, and the STF will decide on the PGR charges against Bolsonaro
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 Apr 2025
The President of the House, Hugo Motta (Republicanos-PB), will meet with party leaders to discuss the Amnesty Bill. Last week, the opposition secured the support of 264 votes for the urgent status request to be brought to the floor. Federal Deputy and União Brasil leader in the House, Pedro Lucas...