MEXICO

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Country Analysts

Mauricio Gonzalez
Former Director of Economic Policy, Finance Ministry
Guillermo Valdes
Former Director, Center of Investigation & National Security
Jesus Reyes Heroles G.G.
Former Secretary of Energy; Ambassador to the U.S.

In The News

Databank

Click here to access the latest Macroeconomic Databank

Recent Country Insights

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Economics: There is good and bad in AMLO’s first 100 days
MEXICO - Report 18 Mar 2019
The first months of the government of President Andrés Manuel López Obrador have produced striking contrasts in economic matters, although clearly there have been more negative than positive ones. With its de facto impact on the economy dating back at least to late October, when he announced inte...

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Politics: The pros and cons of AMLO’s first 100 days
MEXICO - Report 18 Mar 2019
The balance sheet of President López Obrador’s first fourteen weeks in office is decidedly mixed. The political environment in Mexico clearly has been transformed, but it’s too early to determine the full implications of that shift, although we can say that the list of his positive accomplishment...

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Pemex accelerates its fall in 4Q2018
MEXICO - Report 11 Mar 2019
Pemex’s fourth quarter results surpassed the worst fears as to how quickly the company is being driven operationally and financially into the ground, pulling public finance along with it. Following decades in which the government treated the oil company as a cash cow with which to plug budget hol...

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Politics: AMLO squares off against CSOs
MEXICO - Report 11 Mar 2019
President López Obrador’s decision to promote a 2019 budget that halved the funds earmarked for the government’s Childcare Facility Program, which benefits well over 300,000 children from low income households, sparked considerable concern. But the apprehension grew when he decided this year to a...

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New signs of further slowing
MEXICO - Report 04 Mar 2019
A range of indicators published in recent weeks appears to foreshadow a more significant deceleration of diverse production and aggregate demand components. Industrial production fell an annual 2.5% in December, the sector’s worst percentage variation since November 2009, as the drag of a long de...

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Politics: Good news and bad on the National Guard
MEXICO - Report 04 Mar 2019
In the last two weeks the debate over the administration’s National Guard proposal took a totally unexpected turn as members of Congress unanimously voted for a consensus proposal that resolved many points that had drawn strenuous objections. Key changes to the original proposal by the admini...

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Economics: Social policy coherence, loose ends
MEXICO - Report 25 Feb 2019
Social policy has long been a central theme of Andrés Manuel López Obrador, and on the presidential campaign trail he largely focused on cash transfer programs and fighting corruption. Almost three months into his presidential administration his discourse has evolved somewhat, but not much has be...

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Politics: Dismantling autonomy one cut at a time
MEXICO - Report 25 Feb 2019
Since taking office, President Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s daily morning press conferences have become his bully pulpit. The week before last he narrowed his sights on several autonomous government bodies, with the most intense barrages reserved for the Energy Regulatory Commission (CRE) and it...

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Economics: Clear harbingers of a slowdown
MEXICO - Report 18 Feb 2019
Data published in recent weeks regarding a range of production and aggregate demand components may foreshadow a more significant deceleration of the Mexican economy than most anyone was anticipating late last year. And while we have sustained since the third quarter a conservative 2019 GDP growth...

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