MEXICO

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Country Analysts

Mauricio Gonzalez
Former Director of Economic Policy, Finance Ministry
Guillermo Valdes
Former Director, Center of Investigation & National Security
Jesus Reyes Heroles G.G.
Former Secretary of Energy; Ambassador to the U.S.

In The News

Databank

Click here to access the latest Macroeconomic Databank

Recent Country Insights

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Economics: An improvised threat to public finance
MEXICO - Report 27 Jan 2020
The government’s decision to eliminate from the first day of 2020 the Seguro Popular program and establish a centralizing National Health Institute for Wellbeing (Insabi) is being billed as an initial leap forward in the government’s quest to provide greatly expanded public health coverage. But t...

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Politics: Turning back the clock on reform
MEXICO - Report 27 Jan 2020
The extensive package of presumed constitutional and legislative reform proposals that began circulating in social media last Tuesday, if it is in fact from the Office of the Attorney General of Mexico (FGR) as presumed, threatens to bring about a major reversal of more than a decade of progress ...

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Politics: Burying another successful program
MEXICO - Report 20 Jan 2020
The abrupt cancellation of the Seguro Popular reminds one of the old maxim regarding the advisability of abstaining from overhauling things that appear to be rendering positive fruits. By trying to conjure it into a free, universal healthcare delivery system, the government has managed to leave a...

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Economics: Minimum wage hikes consequences
MEXICO - Report 20 Jan 2020 1 response
One of the first initiatives of the administration of President Andrés Manuel López Obrador upon taking office was to announce a major hike in the federal minimum wage for 2019 (+16.2% in most of the country, and by 100% in the northern border region). Over the past 12 months that decision has ha...

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Economics: 2020 growth forecasts remain low
MEXICO - Report 13 Jan 2020
The economic perspectives for 2020 anticipate weak GDP growth, due to lower dynamism in investment and private consumption. Specifically, we at GEA estimate economic growth of 0.2% for 2020 and 1.2% for 2021. Our estimated GDP growth is at the bottom of the range recently projected by other analy...

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Politics: 2020 challenges and political agenda
MEXICO - Report 13 Jan 2020 1 response
After a year in office, President Andrés López Obrador’s main achievement appears to be his successful bid to sell his political project to a population anxious for much-promised change. While concrete results as such have been meager, AMLO’s popularity remains high, with approval levels between ...

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Economics: Ending 2019 on a low note
MEXICO - Report 23 Dec 2019
The economic indicators and news from the final weeks of 2019 added to the general impression of a softening economy, with especially troubling declines in both consumer spending and private investment, even as the retreat in industrial production deepened. Gross fixed investment accelerated its ...

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Politics: Potential democratic institutional demise
MEXICO - Report 23 Dec 2019
The latest GEA-ISA quarterly survey coincides with all the other polling data published in the past month on the seemingly contradictory phenomenon of President López Obrador's continuing to enjoy strong yet somewhat weaker approval numbers at the same time as the government he presides over gets...

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Politics: AMLO's approval sees real slippage
MEXICO - Report 16 Dec 2019
Since he rode a wave of deep popular discontent with politics as usual, conspicuous corruption, deepening social inequality and a sluggish economy to victory in 2018, President Andrés Manuel López Obrador has enjoyed a level of popularity unprecedented in recent history. That support has remained...

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