MEXICO
Analysts
Mauricio González
Former Director of Economic Policy, Finance Ministry
Guillermo Valdés
Former Director, Center of Investigation & National Security
Mariano Ruiz-Funes
Former Director of Financial Policy, Ministry of Finance
Francisco González
Economic Consultant, GEA Grupo de EconomistasDatabanks
Recent Country Insights
Economics: Employment growth at the start of 2026 remains weak despite a slight uptick in economic activity
MEXICO · Report · 24 Mar 2026
The total employed population in Mexico as of January 2026 saw weak growth of 0.4% YoY, after remaining at low growth rates throughout 2025, when it increased by an average of 0.7%. While last year the weakening of employment was in line with the overall stagnation of the economy, in January 2026...
Politics: New Electoral Reform proposal—what is President Sheinbaum's "Plan B" about?
MEXICO · Report · 23 Mar 2026
Following the rejection of President Sheinbaum’s initial constitutional reform on electoral matters—opposed by her allies PT and PVEM, who feared severe losses in funding and congressional seats—she submitted “Plan B” to the Senate last week. This more limited proposal seeks to “make democracy ch...
Politics: Morena prepares for 2027 with strategies aimed at gaining an advantage over the opposition
MEXICO · Report · 16 Mar 2026
Morena is moving aggressively to prepare for the 2027 elections. During its National Political Council on March 7, the party approved an accelerated calendar and rules for selecting candidates for the 17 governorships at stake, while simultaneously strengthening its territorial structure. By laun...
Economics: Pemex posts mixed results for 2025, facing big challenges ahead
MEXICO · Report · 16 Mar 2026
At the end of last month, Pemex released its operating and financial results for the close of 2025. The report was presented under the company’s new legal status as a “public company” — previously known as a “state productive enterprise” — and within the framework of the reforms and new legislati...
Economics: Indicators published in February point to a weak economic recovery for 2026, with inflation above Banxico's target and deteriorating public finances
MEXICO · Report · 09 Mar 2026
Economic indicators published in February suggest that Mexico will experience a moderate recovery in 2026 following the stagnation observed in 2025, although this rebound is shaping up to be weak and constrained by multiple obstacles. Private consumption shows signs of gradual recovery, driven la...
Politics: Electoral Reform proposed by Sheinbaum represents a democratic setback
MEXICO · Report · 09 Mar 2026 · 1 response
On March 4, 2026, President Claudia Sheinbaum submitted her constitutional electoral reform initiative to the Chamber of Deputies, representing the final outstanding component of "Plan C" announced by Andrés Manuel López Obrador in February 2024. Following two previous failed attempts—a rejected ...
Economics: US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs—implications for Mexico
MEXICO · Report · 03 Mar 2026
The recent imposition of 15% across-the-board tariffs by President Trump in response to the U.S. Supreme Court's ruling invalidating prior specific tariffs does not affect Mexico as products entering under the USMCA remain exempt, as they previously were from reciprocal tariffs. Consequently, Mex...
Politics: The death of “El Mencho” reshapes the Mexican security landscape
MEXICO · Report · 02 Mar 2026
On Sunday, February 22, 2026, the Mexican Army carried out a well-planned operation in Tapalpa, Jalisco (130 km from Guadalajara), with support from US intelligence (JITF-CC), to capture Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, alias "El Mencho," leader of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG). The kingpin...
Results of the military operation to arrest Nemesio Oseguera, "El Mencho," Leader of the CJNG
MEXICO · In Brief · 24 Feb 2026
Initial notes on its implications On Sunday, February 22, Mexican armed forces carried out an operation to apprehend Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, alias “El Mencho,” the leader of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG)—Mexico’s most powerful and far-reaching criminal organization, heavily engaged...