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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank May 13 -
Brazil Economics databank Apr 14
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Central America databank May 1
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Chile databank Apr 7
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank May 12
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Dominican Republic databank Apr 28
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Ecuador databank Apr 22
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Gulf Countries databank May 16
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Hungary databank Apr 22
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India databank Apr 28
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Mexico databank May 12
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Panama databank May 13
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Peru databank Apr 28
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Philippines databank May 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank May 12
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South Africa databank May 6
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank May 12
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Venezuela databank May 5
NEWS FLASH
WEBINAR - LATIN AMERICA: FISCAL PRESSURES AND POLITICAL SHIFTS...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Uzbekistan represses Islamists
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 15 Apr 2024
In April 2024 the Uzbek government responded to the March 2024 Crocus City Hall attacks in Moscow by ramping up police action against those suspected of religious extremism and terrorism. The police have searched the residences of suspects. The public have been told not to put their children into...
Inflation in the United States and Interest Rates in Brazil
BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 15 Apr 2024
Inflation in the United States has been more persistent than expected according to CPI data disclosed last week, which indicated a continued acceleration trend, especially in core measures. The worsening of the underlying measures of US inflation has occurred against a backdrop of heated economic...
Tax collections and weak demand held March inflation steady
VENEZUELA · Report · 15 Apr 2024
Inflation held steady at 1.2 percent in March. While, starting in the third week of March, bolivar depreciation against the dollar and a transportation fare hike pushed up on inflation, and monetary expansion caused by domestic public outlays expanded by 21 percent compared with 9 percent in Febr...
Inflation in March slightly above expectations, but core remains low
ISRAEL · In Brief · 15 Apr 2024
Inflation in March slightly above expectations Inflation in March (0.6% m/m 2.7% y/y, following 2.5% last month) was slightly above expectations of 0.5% on average. Core inflation inched up to 2.3% y/y from 2.2% last month but this is due to higher taxation on cigarettes contributing 0.1% to the ...
Pacheco meets with governors to discuss state debt, the government is considering changing the fiscal target for 2025, and the House will continue to analyze important bills this week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Apr 2024
Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco and the governors who are requesting the restructuring of their debts with the federal government will discuss the general lines of a complementary bill to regularize state debt. The fiscal target for this year is 0% of GDP. For 2025, the government had defined a ...
What could happen if GL 44 expires on April 18?
VENEZUELA · Report · 15 Apr 2024
The possible expiration of General License 44 (GL 44) generates uncertainty. Venezuela's oil production and exports have been increasing since 2022 under licenses 41 and 44 . Both allow selling oil in Venezuela's natural markets (the US and Europe) at better prices, with more efficient collectio...
Politics: In a context of lackluster campaigns, the first presidential debate probably only had a marginal impact
MEXICO · Report · 15 Apr 2024
With Xóchitl Gálvez trailing by 17 points and only 8% of registered voters still undecided according to the latest El Financiero poll, and less than six weeks left to the campaign, time is running out for the main opposition presidential candidate to begin making significant inroads with undecide...
Markets shrug off escalation
ISRAEL · Report · 15 Apr 2024
1. So far, markets appeared unfazed by the recent Iranian strike on Israel, including the equity, bond and FX markets. 2. The BoI kept rates unchanged at its most recent meeting due to current elevated geopolitical risks, but expects easing in the coming year. 3. The economy has recovered...
New opposition star announced his party, runs at European election in June
HUNGARY · In Brief · 15 Apr 2024
Péter Magyar, who appeared as an opposition politician just a few weeks ago, and has been ambitiously working to build himself up as a leading figure ever since then, has announced his new party (TISZA Respect and Freedom), and also the fact that this party has been registered by the National Ele...
Ban on Russian metals by the US and UK
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 15 Apr 2024
On April 12 the announcement was made as part of the drive to reduce revenue that funds the Russian war effort. The metals targeted are nickel, copper and aluminum. The sanctions also reduce the use of these metals in the world metal exchanges and in derivatives trading. The Chicago Mercantile Ex...
Local markets shrug off recent Iranian missile attack
ISRAEL · In Brief · 15 Apr 2024
Geopolitics: Iran launched a large-scale drone/cruise/missile attack on Israel Saturday night. Some 200 projectiles were fired, 99% were intercepted. Israel’s defense system performed exceptionally well, in addition to cooperation with other allies including the US, UK, and Jordan. The big questi...
Reserves up, politics sideways
TURKEY · Report · 14 Apr 2024 · 1 response
The politics author analyses the reasons for AKP’s stunning defeat, concluding that while President Erdogan’s mistakes did play a role in the defeat, by no means were they the primary factor. It is very difficult to fix these mistakes anyway. Voters who migrated from AKP to ultra-Islamist New Wel...
The limited Iranian strikes at Israel were as expected, the next steps are more uncertain
GULF COUNTRIES · In Brief · 14 Apr 2024 · 1 response
Last night, April 13, Iran launched around 300 drones and missiles toward Israel. These are significant as the first attacks from Iranian territory (and possibly by Iranian forces directly) in nearly a half-century of enmity. Until now, Iran has merely provided support to allies across the region...
Russia destroys Ukraine main power plant
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 13 Apr 2024
On April 12 Russian air strikes carried out the attack. The Ukrainian Air Force said it destroyed 58 out of 82 missiles and drones that attacked the plant. 6 of the missiles fired were Kinzhal (''dagger'') which are ultra fast—according to Kyiv. Air defense was unable to take down the Kinzhals. T...
China’s sugar high
CHINA ADVISORY · Report · 12 Apr 2024
Recent data from China’s economy has indicated a turnaround, mostly in the industrial sector including autos, but also in some high technology products. However, the improvements have been fueled by a sharp increase in industrial loans even as monetary policy overall remains sluggish. Further gro...