Country Analysts

Alex Teddy
Head, EMEA Operations, Urus Advisory
Alexei Panin
Head, CIS Operations, Urus Advisory

Recent Country Insights

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CBR slashes key rate
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - In Brief 14 Jun 2019
On June 14 the Central Bank of Russia reduced the key rate to 7.5%. This was prompted by inflation forecasts and growth slowing more sharply than anticipated. Inflation was predicted to be 5.2% maximum. Now the maximum prediction is 4.7%. VAT is being increased which has helped to reduce inflatio...

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Political turmoil in Moldova
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - In Brief 09 Jun 2019
An institutional conflict between the Moldovan Parliament and the Constitutional Court is exposing oligarchs’ leverage on political institutions. After three months of negotiations since the February elections, a government was finally formed in Moldova following a surprising alliance between two...

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Ukraine's Parliamentary elections will cause major change
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - In Brief 08 Jun 2019
Ukraine's Rada (Parliament) is scheduled for an election on July 21. The polls conducted on June 3 show that the Rada's composition is due to change radically. A new political party called Servant of the People is on 48%. This is President Zelensky's party. If this party does as well as polls sug...

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Russian phone company agrees deal with Huawei
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - In Brief 08 Jun 2019
On June 6 Russia's main mobile phone company MTS signed a 5G deal with Chinese telecommunications giant Huawei. This is in stark contrast to the US refuses to deal with Huawei and is seeking the extradition of a top Huawei executive from Canada on charges of sanctions busting.The Kremlin says the...

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Ukrainian President meets EU leaders
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - In Brief 06 Jun 2019
On June 4 and 5 President Zelensky of Ukraine met EU and NATO leaders in Brussels. He was speaking about the long term goal of EU membership. His defeated presidential rival Poroshenko also shares this goal. There are legislative elections this fall so both are setting out their stall. Zelensky's...

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CBR concerned by company debt
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - In Brief 04 Jun 2019
The Central Bank of Russia has voiced its anxiety in its review of financial risks over increasing debt in several major companies. This poses a danger to Russian banking. Companies are spending an average of 10% servicing debt. In 2015 it was 10.4% and when sanctions and low oil prices hit the m...

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Pro-Russian party trying to reunite itself in Ukraine
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - In Brief 30 May 2019
The Opposition Block (OB) in the Ukraine is trying to reunite. Opposition Platform split from OB in 2018. If Opposition Platform rejoins OB then it will be much more formidable. The precursor to the Opposition Block was the Party of the Regions which was led by Viktor Yanukovych. Yanukovych was t...

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Foreign holdings of Russian sovereign debt up
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - In Brief 30 May 2019 1 response
The Ministry of Finance announced that foreign holdings of debt are sharply up in 2019. The total is over USD 50 billion in RUB and FX denominations. The risk of US sanctions has been reduced. The government is keen to make the most of this positive feeling. It is speculated that a new Eurobond w...

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Good news for Russian bank
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - In Brief 28 May 2019
At a meeting of VEB.RF the bank decided that this state corporation can take out loans and have them guaranteed by the government. VEB has various investments in mind. National projects have been hard to fund due to limited access to international financial markets.It looks like US sanctions will...

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