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COUNTRY INSIGHTS

Political Insights: Week of October 7
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Oct 2013

In the economy, two highlights: the Central Bank announces its decision on the interest rate, and the IBGE releases inflation figures for September. In the Senate, we highlight the resumed discussions on the unification of ICMS and state debt, as well as the possible vote, in the Constitution and...

Serra’s Permanence in PSDB is Positive for Dilma and Poses Challenges for Aécio
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Oct 2013

Former Governor José Serra (PSDB-SP) has decided to remain in the PSDB.There was a possibility of Serra's going to the PPS.The national president of the PPS, Rep. Roberto Freire (SP), had offered the party to the former governor to run for president again in 2014. Freire claims that “He (Serra) c...

Political Insights: Week of September 30
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Sep 2013

A week of intense political negotiation, as Saturday is the deadline for the creation and membership of political parties for the 2014 elections. On Tuesday, the TSE examines the creation of Rede, Marina Silva’s party. Main Topics on the October Agenda Politically, the beginning of the month of O...

2014 Election
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Sep 2013

Dilma Recovers Popularity and Improves her Position Ahead of the Upcoming Succession Race The most recent CNI/Ibope on evaluations of the Dilma Rousseff administration revealed that her approval (good/very good) increased six percentage points (from 31% to 37%) from July to September.The “regular...

Political Insights: Week of September 23
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Sep 2013

The week ahead: Finance Minister Guido Mantega discusses investment opportunities in Brazil with investors in New York.The government is concerned about the attractiveness of the concessions programmed for the coming months. In the US, Dilma speaks at the UN General Assembly.This is a decisive we...

PSB Exits The Allied Base
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Sep 2013

The Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) announced on September 18 that it is delivering all posts it occupied in the Dilma Rousseff (PT) administration. The PSB occupied the Ministry of National Integration, the Secretariat of Ports, three directorships in the Development Company for the São Francisc...

Political Insights
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Sep 2013

An intense week of political negotiation ahead: The National Congress analyzes President Dilma’s vetoes, with the government’s effort focused on sustaining the veto on the end of the 10% fine on the FGTS in case of unfair dismissal. The STF decides on the possibility of a new trial for 12 of the ...

Dilma’s Approval Rating Remains Stable
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 Sep 2013

On Tuesday, September 10, CNT/MDA released a new poll on the approval rating of the Dilma Rousseff administration, conducted between August 31 and September 4. Approval of her government increased from 31.1% to 38.1% (7 percentage points). The CNT poll shows that the president’s popularity has st...

Political Insights: Week of September 9
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Sep 2013

All eyes are on the Supreme Court (STF), which may conclude the Mensalão (monthly payoff scandal) trial this week.On Monday, President Dilma Rousseff meets with allied leaders to discuss the presidential vetoes to be analyzed on September 17. The cycle of roadway concessions starts this week. CNT...

Political Insights: Week of September 2
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Sep 2013

The people should return to the streets on September 7 to protest in the main cities throughout the country.Regarding the economy, we highlight the release of inflation data for August. Electoral reform, outsourcing and the Budget Guidelines Law are on the congressional agenda. Main topics on the...

Political Insights: Week of August 27
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Aug 2013

Two items on the economic agenda will dominate the week:on Wednesday, the Central Bank is expected to announce another increase in the basic interest rate (Selic), and on Friday, the IBGE releases the second quarter GDP results. Dilma’s popularity increases to 38% The latest poll by the Ibope Ins...

Political Insights: Week of August 19
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Aug 2013

On Tuesday Congress will analyze the controversial vetoes by President Dilma Rousseff.These include the additional 10% fine on the Unemployment Guarantee Fund (FGTS) owed by employers to the federal government in cases of unfair dismissal, and the extension of Reintegra.If overturned, they will h...

CNT/MDA shows significant popularity losses for Dilma
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Aug 2013

On July 16, CNT/MDA released a poll on the Dilma Rousseff administration, taken from July 7-10.As with the previous Datafolha research, this poll showed a significant drop in Dilma’s approval rating, which fell from 54.2% to 31.1% (23.1 percentage points) compared to the previous poll, from June....

Political Insights: Week of August 12
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 12 Aug 2013

President Dilma Rousseff continues her strategy of strengthening her relationship with the allied base.Votes on the compulsory budget and the bill that destines resources from the pre-salt for education and healthcare are scheduled in the House.In the Federal Supreme Court, the mensalão trial res...

Political Insights: Week of August 5
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Aug 2013

A week of expectations.The government is trying to mend dialogue with its base.A series of meetings between allies and the government are scheduled for this week.In Congress, party leaders in the House and Senate discuss the voting agenda for the next few weeks.A meeting of the national leadershi...

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