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COUNTRY INSIGHTS

Main messages from the Emergency Amendment and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Mar 2021

All sights are on the vote on the Emergency Amendment in the House. The government is working to conclude the vote this week. Once approved, the government will draft a provisional measure specifically on the stimulus aid payments. The IBGE releases data on unemployment and the IPCA for February....

Main questions about the Emergency PEC and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Mar 2021

In the Senate, the highlight is the vote on the Emergency PEC. In the House, we expect the permanent committees to be installed. Regarding the economy, we highlight the release of the 2020 GDP results on Wednesday. This week's Talking Points: * The Emergency PEC: main questions. ...

Discomfort in the Ministry of Economy and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 Feb 2021

The government and congressional leaders expect to decide on the specifics of the new round of emergency stimulus payments this week. To make the program viable, the Senate should vote on the Emergency Amendment on Thursday, February 25, and send it to the House. The House and Senate may define t...

The timing of structural reforms and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Feb 2021

The government may send Congress a bill on the taxation of fuel. In the House, the agenda includes proposals on Central Bank autonomy, over-indebtedness and currency exchange laws. The installation of the Joint Budget Committee is also on the agenda. Discussions about emergency aid payments conti...

A more agitated political environment in Brasilia and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Feb 2021

Congress and Superior Courts resume activity. In the Senate, the election for the presidency is scheduled for Monday, February 1, at 4pm, and in the House, at 7pm. The truckers’ strike scheduled for this Monday is unlikely to receive much support. Material for the production of the CoronaVac vacc...

The risk of institutional instability and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 25 Jan 2021

This is the last week of the parliamentary recess. Candidates for the presidencies of the House and Senate should intensify their movements in the final leg of the campaign. In São Paulo, new restrictive measures are in effect to contain the spread of COVID-19 in the state. Unemployment data (Cag...

The government against the ropes and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Jan 2021

Expectations surround the beginning of vaccinations against Covid-19 this week. In the economy, we highlight the Central Bank meeting to set the benchmark interest rate. On Wednesday, Joe Biden will be inaugurated as President of the United States. This week's Talking Points * The governme...

Bolsonaro's statements create new controversies and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 Jan 2021

There are expectations around the possibility of Anvisa's authorizing the emergency of use of CoronaVac. Some legislators are continuing to work for an extraordinary congressional session during the recess. Parties may take sides in the presidential succession races in the House and Senate. Presi...

The politicization of the vaccine and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 Dec 2020

Despite the fact that the Congressional recess begins on December 23, this will be the final week of legislative activity this year. On Monday, the House may vote on the bill that deals with state debt and the new currency exchange law, among other proposals. Parliamentarians will also vote on th...

The succession in Congress after the STF decision and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Dec 2020

This is a week with important votes on the Congressional agenda. In the House, votes are scheduled for the BR do Mar proposal, the bill on state debt, and the bill on the use of public funds to fight the pandemic. In the Senate, the new law on public tenders and the regulatory framework for the n...

Q&A on the matter of congressional elections and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Nov 2020 · 1 response

After the municipal elections, Congress enters the final weeks of legislative activity before the recess. The report on Tax Reform may be presented in the Joint Congressional Committee. In the Senate, the negotiations around the constitutional amendment on fiscal triggers may advance. The Federal...

Maia decides to resume Tax Reform and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Nov 2020 · 1 response

This is the last week of electoral ads ahead of the municipal runoff round, which will take place in 57 cities on November 29. There will be reduced activity in Congress. In the Senate, the main item on the agenda is the bill on bankruptcies. The Ministry of Economy and IBGE will release unemploy...

The races in state capitals and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Nov 2020

The House and Senate will try to resume voting, but the more controversial issues still lack consensus. The result of the first round of the municipal elections will drive negotiations and alliances ahead of the second round. In the Federal Supreme Court, the constitutionality of intermittent lab...

Bolsonaro's Brazil in the Biden era and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Nov 2020

This is the final week of the electoral campaign ahead of the municipal election, which will take place on November 15. For this reason, there will be no legislative activity in Congress this week. Congress’s decision on the extension of payroll tax exemptions should be published in the Official ...

Centrão: from a solution to the problem and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Nov 2020

Despite the holiday on Monday, this will be a busy week in Brasília. In the Senate, leaders will try to make a deal to advance important proposals, including autonomy of the Central Bank. On Wednesday, an analysis of presidential vetoes is scheduled, and the government will try to postpone the se...

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