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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank Jul 25
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Brazil Economics databank Jul 15
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Central America databank Jul 31
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Chile databank Jul 17
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank Aug 1
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Ecuador databank Jul 22
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Gulf Countries databank Aug 1
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Hungary databank Jul 21
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India databank Jun 26
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Mexico databank Jul 1
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Panama databank Jul 17
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Peru databank Jun 27
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Philippines databank Jul 8
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Poland databank Jul 16
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Russia Economics databank Jul 11
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South Africa databank Jul 11
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank May 12
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Venezuela databank Jul 7
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
An eventful day in yesterday's Covid CPI testimony, and Administrative Reform to be analyzed in committee
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 May 2021
The COVID Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry (CPI) in the Senate had one of its most eventful days yet yesterday. During former Secretary of Government Communication Fábio Wajngarten’s testimony, Senator Renan Calheiros, rapporteur of the CPI, asked that he be arrested. However, the president of ...
Russia struggles with inflation
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 13 May 2021
On May 13 the PM laid into businesses for driving inflation up due to excessive profits. He said the government might have to take measures to cap prices. He accused business of avarice. The recovery is in jeopardy and the Kremlin is worried about the impact of inflation on the fall 2021 election...
Putin's Ukrainian ally charged with high treason
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 13 May 2021
On May 11 Viktor Medvedchuk was charged with treason along with Taras Kozak. Both men are politicians for a political party called Opposition Platform for Life. Medvedchuk has been subject to sanctions by his own government since February 2021 on suspicion of funding terrorism. Medvedchuk's home ...
Claim of Unconstitutionality of New Education Bill
ECUADOR · In Brief · 12 May 2021
The Constitutional Court received yesterday a claim of unconstitutionality of the new education bill. The claim brilliantly explains the legal violations this bill exhibits and also provides a complete and fair explanation of its negative fiscal and economic implications. This claim was submitted...
Strategic regime moderation
VENEZUELA · Report · 12 May 2021
Maduro’s government has signaled a major shift in stance and strategy in the last several weeks. Most importantly, it agreed to a legal process for renewing the five-member board of the National Electoral Council that resulted in the designation of two opposition-aligned members. Maduro has al...
Media focus on Covid CPI testimony, and the Lower House to vote on important bills
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 12 May 2021
The media should closely cover the president of the Brazilian Health Regulatory Agency (Anvisa) Antônio Barra Torres’ testimony in the COVID Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry (CPI) today. The focus will be on his differences with President Bolsonaro, especially when it comes to vaccines, chloro...
Russia considering tax reform
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 12 May 2021
On May 11 the Duma passed a bill ending Russia's bilateral tax treaty with the Netherlands. Attempts to negotiate a new tax agreement had come to nought. Yandex and X5 Retail Group are both based in the Netherlands. It looks as though in January 2022 these companies will have to pay tax in both j...
Russia's oil reserves might run out in 2080
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 12 May 2021
On May 11 the Ministry of Natural Resources said that the country's oil reserves will last until 2080. However, gas will last until 2124. There might be more hyrdocarbons than this but they have not been found.Prospecting in the Arctic could lead to more finds. Rosneft is exploring there. A USD 1...
Erratic control
VENEZUELA · Report · 11 May 2021
Inflation sped up sharply in April, to 27 percent month-on-month from 11 percent in March. It was driven up primarily by sharp dollar strengthening in bolivar terms (+36 percent) despite slow public spending and money supply. We think that dollar prices were responding to the March surge in publi...
CPI-inflation up sharply, exceeds analyst expectations in April
HUNGARY · In Brief · 11 May 2021
This morning, April CPI-inflation was reported at 0.8% mom, 5.1% yoy, the latter sharply up from 3.7% yoy in March. The headline rate was pushed up very substantially by rising fuel prices, which went up by 39.2% yoy in April after +17.7% yoy, despite a 1.2% mom decrease in the month, i.e. essent...
Environmental licensing bill set for a vote in the Lower House, and more testimony in the Covid CPI in the Senate
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 May 2021
Today, the Lower House votes on a bill that deals with environmental licensing, which is especially important for the infrastructure sector. The bill defines the rules businesses must follow when conducting environmental projects, for example, deadlines, environmental impact studies, analysis pr...
China’s Credit Guarantee Funds and risk
CHINA ADVISORY · Report · 11 May 2021
China is pursuing two contradictory goals simultaneously. One calls for throttling back credit to risky parts of the financial system. The second is the creation of a default mechanism for ailing companies that in some cases includes state assistance. The policies are designed to continue to inje...
Q1 GDP down by 4.2%
PHILIPPINES · In Brief · 11 May 2021
The on the ground feedback we were getting of the economy’s performance leading up to today’s GDP announcement had suggested a more buoyant economy than the reported 4.2% year on year (yoy) contraction. The headline number implies that GDP grew by only 0.3% quarter on quarter, or an annualized ra...
Politics: The outgoing Congress - what it achieved and what to expect
MEXICO · Report · 10 May 2021
The first round of President Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s three years of changes to the country’s laws and constitution ended on April 30, as the outgoing Chamber of Deputies assuredly will never meet again, and the full Congress convenes on September 1. The initial package of reforms was far-re...
Economics: Continuing weakness at Pemex and CFE could further squeeze public finance
MEXICO · Report · 10 May 2021
Roughly a month ago Pemex unfurled a revised Business Plan for the coming years that significantly scaled back production targets except when it comes to its forced-yet-troubled march to make Mexico self-sufficient in the refining of petroleum products. Strikingly, the text and other management s...