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COUNTRY INSIGHTS

South Africa’s list of MPs causes some disgruntlement while the nation awaits the appointment of President Ramaphosa’s new cabinet
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 17 May 2019

Now that the general elections have come and gone, the focus in South Africa has shifted back to the African National Congress (ANC) and the integrity of its members, particularly those that will be representing the party in parliament. President Cyril Ramaphosa has based his two campaigns – the ...

ANC announces premier candidates for provinces it will govern
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 14 May 2019

Following its elections win last week, the African National Congress (ANC) party convened a special national executive committee meeting on Monday, May 13, 2019, at which it presented seven of its eight premier candidates for provinces in which it received the majority vote. The premier for one o...

South African 2019 Elections: Vote Counting Completed, 23000 Voting Stations Tallied and The Nation Can Now Breath- but only just!
SOUTH AFRICA · In Brief · 11 May 2019

A few minutes ago, the Independent Electoral Commission (IEC) confirmed that the 2019 elections votes are 100% counted, and tallied. The official ceremony later today at 18h00 will be held at the IEC headquarters where the results will be officially confirmed, certified and announced. In the mean...

South African 2019 Elections Vote Counting Continues: Gains , Pains and the Rule of Numbers
SOUTH AFRICA · In Brief · 10 May 2019

With over 70% of South Africa's 23000 voting stations counted and tallied, gradually a picture is emerging, much in line with expectations, and with some variations. At the national level, the ANC is leading with a 57% voter support, DA at around 22% and the EFF at circa 10%. Curiously, all the p...

South Africa 2019 Elections: Voting Done yesterday, Today is all about Counting and the Game of Numbers
SOUTH AFRICA · In Brief · 09 May 2019

South Africa's 6th democratic national elections went relatively smoothly yesterday. Months and months of tense, vigorous and emotional electioneering ended yesterday with 24.75 million eligible voters registered, 9.2 million eligible voters who did not register, 48 political parties battled for ...

SA’s 2019 elections on May 8: Major political parties polished off their final rallies
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 06 May 2019

South Africa’s top three contending political parties, the African National Congress (ANC), the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) and the Democratic Alliance (DA) held their final rallies over the past weekend, with the hope of securing more support so as to be crowned as the nation’s governing par...

South Africa’s general elections five days away – here are the latest pollsters results
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 03 May 2019

The South African economy has had difficulty recovering from its lackluster growth for a decade, and leadership (governance) and policies have played a significant role in this. The direction the economy will take from here largely depends on the outcome of the general elections that are less tha...

The President ups the game in “stamping out corruption"
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 02 May 2019

​After being elected as the new leader of South Africa’s governing party ANC (December 21, 2017) and being sworn in as the fifth democratic President of the nation (February 15, 2018), Cyril Ramaphosa pledged to fight corruption and support economic revival. Indeed, this has been his aim since th...

Another uninspiring start to the year for South Africa, yet there is hope beyond the May general elections
SOUTH AFRICA · Forecast · 24 Apr 2019

* South Africa’s growth: The increase in economic activity and hence the recovery in growth in South Africa didn’t quite turn out as expected in 2018. But South Africa had been poorly run for years, and the effects were bound to linger for some time. We expect economic growth for the first qua...

Cyril Ramaphosa’s ideal cabinet – a complicated crossroad
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 17 Apr 2019

For almost all analysts, the working assumption is that the May 8, 2019 elections will bring the ANC alliance back to power, albeit with a reduced majority. In our previous reports (March 28, April 5 and April 11), we have analyzed the various forces at play and the implications of different elec...

Reviving South Africa’s governance institutions in the face of political headwinds
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 11 Apr 2019

There is a myriad of challenges facing President Ramaphosa in the lead-up to the May general elections, both as president of the country and even more as president of the governing political party, the African National Congress (ANC). The infighting within the ANC, well documented in our previous...

Headwinds facing President Ramaphosa and his political strategy
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 05 Apr 2019

Dr. Iraj Abedian in collaboration with Dr Mzukisi Qobo, formerly Chief Director of Trade Policy at the Department of Trade and Industry ​ * The 2019 elections are likely to be the most decisive in the factional battles within the ANC, and they will give early indication of President Cyril Rama...

The South African Reserve Bank leaves interest rates unchanged as consumer inflation remains contained
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 28 Mar 2019

The South African Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee concluded its three-day March meeting today with Reserve Bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago’s announcement that the Reserve Bank would be keeping the benchmark interest rate at 6.75%. This means the prime interest rate will also remain at 10....

South Africa’s May 2019 general elections polls – let the race begin
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 28 Mar 2019

South Africa’s general elections are fast approaching, and the race is heating up. The election date of May 8, 2019 was announced by President Ramaphosa during the State of the Nation (SONA) address at the beginning of February 2019, but the proclamation was officially signed by the President on ...

South Africa’s fourth quarter current account balance improved, but deteriorated for 2018 as a whole
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 07 Mar 2019

Data released by the South African Reserve Bank shows that there was a significant narrowing of the country’s current account deficit during the fourth quarter of 2018 from the third quarter as it contracted by R70.2 billion, from R180.4 billion to R110.2 billion. The current account deficit as a...

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