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Missão’s presidential candidate, Renan Santos (Missão), performed well in his interview with Jornal Nacional. Renan showed that he had a clear strategy and did not shy away from questions, even when he had to defend controversial and unpopular measures. Compared with Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado...

Presidential candidate Caiado was interviewed by Jornal Nacional, Senator Aziz said he will present his report on the 6x1 PEC tomorrow, and the Brazilian government will meet with the USTR on Monday (Aug. 31)

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Aug 2026

The interview with PSD presidential candidate and former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado on Jornal Nacional was marked by a lack of concrete policy proposals. On several questions, Caiado chose to sidestep the issues raised. Senator Omar Aziz (PSD-AM) confirmed that he will present his report tomor...

The latest poll shows Lula would tie with Flávio Bolsonaro and Caiado in a runoff, Flávio’s campaign filed a complaint with the TSE against Lula, and Justice Dino authorized further investigations into the film “Dark Horse”

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 25 Aug 2026

Yesterday’s release of a Nexus BTG Pactual poll on the presidential election showed President Lula in a statistical tie with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and former Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) in potential runoff scenarios. In a hypothetical runoff race against Flávio, Lula has 46%, whil...

The economy and corruption threaten Lula's lead and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Aug 2026

The government may submit the proposed 2027 federal budget and a provisional measure on the Selective Tax to Congress. On Friday (Aug. 28), free electoral advertising on radio and television begins. Four presidential polls are expected (Nexus, Gerp, Indexa, and PoderData), along with a series of ...

The first presidential debate was held yesterday, free campaign time on TV and radio will begin on Friday, and several new polls will be released throughout the week

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Aug 2026

Yesterday, Band hosted the first debate among the candidates for president of Brazil. Only three candidates participated: Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), Renan Santos (Missão), and Augusto Cury (Avante). Lula is expected to avoid debates during the first round. Free electoral advertising on radio and telev...

The PGR asked the STF to send the investigation into Lulinha to a lower court, the first presidential debate is scheduled for Sunday, and free campaign time on TV and radio will begin next week

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 21 Aug 2026

The Office of the Prosecutor General (PGR) has asked the Supreme Federal Court (STF) to send to a lower court the investigations into the alleged involvement of Fábio Luís Lula da Silva, known as “Lulinha”, the son of President Lula (PT), as well as allegations involving Dataprev and an attempted...

The reciprocity response to the U.S. tariffs is not expected to be completed by December, the government is expected to submit the PLOA by the end of next week, and the issue involving Lula’s son continues

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 Aug 2026

Minister of Development, Industry and Trade Márcio Elias said on Wednesday (Aug. 19) that the economic reciprocity process in response to tariffs imposed by the United States is not expected to be completed by December. Last week, the government announced that it had initiated the reciprocity pro...

Senate President Alcolumbre sent the 6x1 work schedule proposal to the CCJ, Lula’s provisional measure on the “blouse tax” expires on Sep. 8, and Lula continues to criticize online betting

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Aug 2026

According to his staff, Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) has signed the order sending the proposed constitutional amendment (PEC) that would end the 6-on, 1-off (6x1) work schedule to the Constitution and Justice Committee (CCJ). This means the proposal should reach the CCJ in the comi...

The latest presidential poll shows that the race is statistically tied, the investigation into Lula’s son continues, and Caiado replaced his campaign strategist yesterday

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Aug 2026

Yesterday, a new Nexus/BTG Pactual poll on the presidential election was released. It showed President Lula (PT) with 41% of first-round voting intentions. Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) has 36%. In a hypothetical runoff, Lula is numerically ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro, 47% to 44%. However, the race...

Campaign kickoff—Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro’s proposals and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Aug 2026

This week's Talking Points: • Lula and Flávio kick off their campaigns. On the first day of the official election campaign, President Lula (PT) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) adopted different strategies. At a political rally held at Vila Euclides Stadium in the ABC region of São Paulo, Lu...

The official campaign period began this Sunday and will run through October 1, Alcolumbre said he would move forward with the 6x1 work schedule proposal, and two presidential polls will be released this week

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Aug 2026

The campaign period officially began this Sunday (August 16) and will run through October 1, three days before the first round of the election. Radio and television campaign advertising begins on August 28 and will also run through October 1. Last week, President Lula (PT) met with Senate Preside...

Flávio Bolsonaro had difficulty registering his candidacy, the official campaign period begins on Sunday and runs through October 1, and the government said it notified the U.S. about instating reciprocal tariffs

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 Aug 2026

When Senator Flávio Bolsonaro attempted to register his candidacy for the presidency, he was prevented from doing so because the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) system showed that he was affiliated with Missão rather than the PL. Yesterday, the TSE restored Flávio’s PL affiliation. His candidacy h...

Lula signed four decrees on policies for the electricity and fuels sectors, the STF will hold a hearing on whether the FGC will extend a loan to BRB, and the Federal Revenue Service may release new regulations on Tax Reform

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Aug 2026

President Lula (PT) yesterday signed four decrees regulating policies for the electricity and fuel sectors. The measures regulate the use of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF); Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS), aimed at the environmentally responsible storage of CO2; the legal framework for green hy...

Polls show that the election remains polarized between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, the House may vote on the bill that reduces taxes on fuels, and Lula will sign four decrees on policies for the electricity and fuels sectors

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 12 Aug 2026

Between Monday and Tuesday, three opinion polls were released. The Nexus/BTG, Apex/Futura, and CNT/MDA polls converge on one central point: the presidential election remains polarized between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, with both holding a wide lead over the other candidates. Today, the Lower Hous...

Congress begins a week of concentrated legislative activity, Lula may meet with Senate President Alcolumbre to discuss Senate priorities, and House President Motta has announced his support for Lula in the elections

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 Aug 2026

Today, the Lower House and the Senate begin a week of concentrated legislative activity. The voting agenda has yet to be finalized. This morning, Institutional Relations Minister José Guimarães and government leaders in Congress will have breakfast with Finance Minister Dario Durigan in an effort...