GlobalSource Partners | Country Insights

The Senate approved the end of the 6x1 work schedule yesterday. The proposal passed in two rounds of voting, both by the same margin: 75 votes in favor and only one against. Senator Hamilton Mourão cast the sole dissenting vote. The Lower House approved, by 461 votes to 4, an increase in the reve...

Lula continues efforts to reverse Flávio’s advantage in the election, the government moved forward with efforts to approve the 6x1 proposal, and Lula is expected to issue a letter to evangelical Christians

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 Oct 2026

The government continues to pull out all the stops in an effort to reverse the advantage Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) held over Lula in the first round. As a reminder, the gap between the two candidates was 1.87 percentage points of the valid vote. The government has also moved forward with efforts to a...

Flávio strengthens his status as favorite and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Oct 2026

Next week, the Senate will conclude the five required sessions of debate on the constitutional amendment proposal that would end the 6x1 work schedule. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has scheduled a vote on the measure for Wednesday, October 14. Lula and Flávio will give interviews to TV Globo....

Alcolumbre scheduled for tomorrow the final debate session on the 6x1 proposal, a series of presidential polls will be released this week, and the FPA is organizing a nationwide caravan of representatives to support Flávio

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Oct 2026

Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) placed the proposed constitutional amendment to end the 6-days-on, 1-day-off workweek (6x1) on Wednesday’s (Oct. 14) agenda, marking the fifth and final day of debate on the proposal. After the rapporteur presents his report on any floor amendments befo...

Polls show Senator Flávio Bolsonaro leading in the runoff, Lula’s campaign is trying to correct some of the mistakes made in the first round, and radio and television campaign advertising for the runoff resumes today

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Oct 2026

Two presidential polls released yesterday show Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) leading in the runoff. According to PoderData, the senator has 49% of the vote, compared with 44% for Lula. Datafolha shows a 49% to 45% split. Lula’s campaign is trying to correct some of the mistakes made during the fi...

The debate on the 6x1 proposal continues in the Senate, Lula said his campaign this year was the least organized of his political career, and the TSE will hear an appeal involving the gubernatorial elections in Rio

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Oct 2026

The debate over ending the 6-on, 1-off (6x1) work schedule continues to advance in the Senate. Yesterday, the Senate held the second discussion session on the proposal. Today, it will hold the third. Lula said this year’s campaign has been the “least organized” he has ever participated in over th...

Webinar replay: Brazil elections - Outlook for the runoff

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Oct 2026

What does the path to the presidency look like for Brazil's presidential candidates? Which way is the country leaning? Watch our webinar replay featuring GlobalSource Partners' Brazil Analyst Lucas de Aragao discussing the results of the first round and the outlook for the runoff elections.

The União Progressista party federation announced support for Flávio, the Senate will hold the second session on the 6x1 proposal, and Flávio’s campaign coordinator said the Senate should act to impeach STF justices

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Oct 2026

The PP and União Brasil, which make up the União Progressista federation and remained neutral in the first round, announced yesterday (Oct. 6) their support for Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) in the runoff of the presidential election, as we had anticipated. The endorsements Flávio Bolsonaro has r...

The PP will meet to decide the party’s position in the runoff, the PSD announced that it would remain neutral, and the Senate is expected to hold the first debate on the 6x1 constitutional amendment proposal

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Oct 2026

Today, the Progressistas (PP) will meet to decide the party’s position in the presidential runoff. The party remained neutral in the first round. The PP elected 41 members of the Lower House and will hold six seats in the Senate in the next Congress. The expectation is that the party will endorse...

Upcoming webinar - Brazil elections: Outlook for the runoff

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Oct 2026

Date: 6 Oct 2026 Time: 10:00 AM EDT What does the path to the presidency look like for Brazil's presidential candidates? Which way is the country leaning? Join us for our live Zoom webinar featuring GlobalSource Partners' Brazil Politics Analyst Lucas de Aragao discussing the results of th...

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and President Lula head to a runoff on October 25, campaigning begins on Friday and runs through October 23, and five presidential polls are expected to be released this week

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Oct 2026

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro finished ahead of President Lula in the first round of the presidential election. Flávio received 47.03% of the valid votes, compared with 45.16% for President Lula, a difference of just 1.85 percentage points. Campaigning for the runoff begins on Friday (Oct. 9) and will...

Globo canceled last night’s presidential debate, TSE Justice Estela Aranha barred the network from showing an empty podium for President Lula, and there was negative backlash surrounding the court decisions

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Oct 2026

After two court decisions interfered with Globo’s presidential debate, combined with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro’s (PL) decision to withdraw from the event, Globo canceled what was expected to be the decisive debate of the election campaign. Superior Electoral Court (TSE) Justice Estela Aranha barre...

Today is the final day of the election campaign, the TSE formed a majority to remove a series of posts regarding Flávio and Our Lady of Aparecida, and today is the deadline for amendments to be submitted to two MPs

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Oct 2026

Today is the final day of the election campaign. The main event will be the presidential debate broadcast by TV Globo beginning at 9:20 p.m local time. Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), Augusto Cury (Avante), and Romeu Zema (Novo) have confirmed their participation, but President Lula ...

Justice Fachin postponed the STF’s plenary discussion of the Our Lady of Aparecida case, new information involving Lulinha raises concerns, and the government continues to roll out measures that could impact the elections

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Sep 2026

Supreme Federal Court (STF) President Justice Edson Fachin decided to postpone the Court’s plenary discussion of the fake news controversy involving Our Lady of Aparecida. The issue could have been heard today, but Fachin considered it more prudent to avoid taking up the matter just days before t...

The latest poll reinforces the highly competitive scenario in a potential runoff, the issue regarding the patron saint of Brazil continues, and STF justices disagree on how to address this issue

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 29 Sep 2026

The Quaest poll on the presidential election released yesterday reinforces the highly competitive scenario in a hypothetical runoff between President Lula (PT) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL). Both stand at 42%. Justice Flávio Dino has submitted to the full bench of the Supreme Federal Court (S...