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New information about Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) has emerged, further increasing pressure on the Court. Justice André Mendonça, the justice overseeing the Banco Master case before the STF, met with Daniel Vorcaro without the Federal Police present. Today, Senate President Davi Alcolumbr...

New evidence from the Vorcaro case was presented by the Federal Police, the opposition filed impeachment requests against Justice Moraes, and the Joint Committee may vote on the so-called “blouse tax”

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Sep 2026

Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice André Mendonça, who is overseeing the investigations into fraud involving Banco Master, suggested in a decision released on Tuesday (September 1) that new evidence presented by the Federal Police (PF) in the case be reviewed by the full Court. Mendonça lifted t...

The TSE suspended presidential candidate Renan Santos’s campaign, candidate Augusto Cury rose significantly in the polls, and Justice Toffoli was criticized for his decision against Renan Santos

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Sep 2026

Two new developments yesterday shook up the presidential race. The first was the surprising rise of Augusto Cury (Avante) in voting-intention polls. Cury gained 6.2 percentage points in the AtlasIntel poll, reaching 7.8%. In the Nexus/BTG poll, the Avante candidate climbed nine points to 11%. The...

Electoral considerations drive the Lula-Alcolumbre alliance and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 31 Aug 2026

Congress will hold a concentrated legislative session this week. The agenda includes several bills and proposals of interest to the government: the elimination of the “small-package tax,” the end of the 6-on/1-off work schedule, critical minerals policy, Redata, and the Public Security Constituti...

A week of concentrated legislative effort in Congress, President Lula to have dinner with business leaders and bankers tonight, and five polls should be released this week

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 31 Aug 2026

This will be a week of concentrated legislative effort in Congress, with several bills of interest to the administration on the agenda, including the repeal of the “small-package tax,” the end of the 6-on/1-off work schedule, critical minerals policy, Redata (tax incentives), and the Public Secur...

President Lula was interviewed by Jornal Nacional, free electoral advertising on radio and TV begins today and will run through October 1, and next week will be the last week of concentrated legislative activity before the elections

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Aug 2026

President Lula’s (PT) interview on Jornal Nacional was marked by a more cordial tone from journalists César Tralli and Renata Vasconcellos compared with their interviews of the other candidates (Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos). Nevertheless, Lula struggled during the interview. Free...

Presidential candidate Renan Santos was interviewed by Jornal Nacional, Lula met with Congress leaders to discuss the legislative agenda, and the bill on the import tax on low-value purchases may be put to a vote next week

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Aug 2026

Missão’s presidential candidate, Renan Santos (Missão), performed well in his interview with Jornal Nacional. Renan showed that he had a clear strategy and did not shy away from questions, even when he had to defend controversial and unpopular measures. Compared with Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado...

Presidential candidate Caiado was interviewed by Jornal Nacional, Senator Aziz said he will present his report on the 6x1 PEC tomorrow, and the Brazilian government will meet with the USTR on Monday (Aug. 31)

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Aug 2026

The interview with PSD presidential candidate and former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado on Jornal Nacional was marked by a lack of concrete policy proposals. On several questions, Caiado chose to sidestep the issues raised. Senator Omar Aziz (PSD-AM) confirmed that he will present his report tomor...

The latest poll shows Lula would tie with Flávio Bolsonaro and Caiado in a runoff, Flávio’s campaign filed a complaint with the TSE against Lula, and Justice Dino authorized further investigations into the film “Dark Horse”

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 25 Aug 2026

Yesterday’s release of a Nexus BTG Pactual poll on the presidential election showed President Lula in a statistical tie with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and former Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) in potential runoff scenarios. In a hypothetical runoff race against Flávio, Lula has 46%, whil...

The economy and corruption threaten Lula's lead and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Aug 2026

The government may submit the proposed 2027 federal budget and a provisional measure on the Selective Tax to Congress. On Friday (Aug. 28), free electoral advertising on radio and television begins. Four presidential polls are expected (Nexus, Gerp, Indexa, and PoderData), along with a series of ...

The first presidential debate was held yesterday, free campaign time on TV and radio will begin on Friday, and several new polls will be released throughout the week

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Aug 2026

Yesterday, Band hosted the first debate among the candidates for president of Brazil. Only three candidates participated: Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), Renan Santos (Missão), and Augusto Cury (Avante). Lula is expected to avoid debates during the first round. Free electoral advertising on radio and telev...

The PGR asked the STF to send the investigation into Lulinha to a lower court, the first presidential debate is scheduled for Sunday, and free campaign time on TV and radio will begin next week

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 21 Aug 2026

The Office of the Prosecutor General (PGR) has asked the Supreme Federal Court (STF) to send to a lower court the investigations into the alleged involvement of Fábio Luís Lula da Silva, known as “Lulinha”, the son of President Lula (PT), as well as allegations involving Dataprev and an attempted...

The reciprocity response to the U.S. tariffs is not expected to be completed by December, the government is expected to submit the PLOA by the end of next week, and the issue involving Lula’s son continues

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 Aug 2026

Minister of Development, Industry and Trade Márcio Elias said on Wednesday (Aug. 19) that the economic reciprocity process in response to tariffs imposed by the United States is not expected to be completed by December. Last week, the government announced that it had initiated the reciprocity pro...

Senate President Alcolumbre sent the 6x1 work schedule proposal to the CCJ, Lula’s provisional measure on the “blouse tax” expires on Sep. 8, and Lula continues to criticize online betting

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Aug 2026

According to his staff, Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) has signed the order sending the proposed constitutional amendment (PEC) that would end the 6-on, 1-off (6x1) work schedule to the Constitution and Justice Committee (CCJ). This means the proposal should reach the CCJ in the comi...

The latest presidential poll shows that the race is statistically tied, the investigation into Lula’s son continues, and Caiado replaced his campaign strategist yesterday

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Aug 2026

Yesterday, a new Nexus/BTG Pactual poll on the presidential election was released. It showed President Lula (PT) with 41% of first-round voting intentions. Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) has 36%. In a hypothetical runoff, Lula is numerically ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro, 47% to 44%. However, the race...