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As expected, the United States confirmed a 25% tariff on Brazilian exports. The measure has quickly become politicized, and President Lula is expected to use it as a campaign issue by placing responsibility on Flávio Bolsonaro. Another setback for Flávio Bolsonaro came from the latest Genial/Quae...

The Senate approved the Freight MP, it also approved a PEC on special retirement rules for community health workers, and the U.S. should decide today whether to impose the 25% tariff on Brazilian exports

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Jul 2026

Yesterday, the Senate approved the provisional measure (MP) changing the rules governing minimum road freight rates, but without the proposed monthly minimum wage of R$5,000 for truck drivers. The text now goes to the president for sanction. The Senate also approved a proposed constitutional amen...

The Freight MP may be put to a vote today in the Senate, truck drivers called for a strike yesterday but participation was limited, and Justice Moraes suspended Flávio Bolsonaro’s visitation rights to his father’s house

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 Jul 2026

The government leader in the National Congress, Senator Randolfe Rodrigues (PT-AP), said yesterday that the Freight MP (Provisional Measure 1,343/26) will be ready for a floor vote today (July 14). Leaders of independent truck drivers called for a strike starting at midnight on Monday in support ...

The political impact of Jair Bolsonaro's letter and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Jul 2026

The final week of activity in the National Congress began last Friday, ahead of the legislative recess. In the Senate, lawmakers may vote on the provisional measure establishing a minimum freight rate. Truck drivers are pressuring Congress to vote on the matter. Four presidential polls will be re...

This is the final week of legislative activity, the Senate may vote on the provisional measure on minimum freight rates, and the deadline for negotiations between Brazil and the U.S. on the tariffs ends on Wednesday

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Jul 2026

Starting Friday (July 17), the National Congress will recess and resume activity on August 3. Upon return, however, lawmakers will maintain a reduced schedule due to the electoral period. The Senate may vote this week on Provisional Measure (MP) No. 1,343/26, which deals with minimum freight rate...

The Gecex approved the temporary maintenance of the 12% Export Tax on crude oil, next week will be the final week of legislative activity before the recess, and the U.S. will decide whether to implement the 25% tariff

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 10 Jul 2026

At a meeting held yesterday (July 9), the Executive Management Committee of the Chamber of Foreign Trade (Gecex) approved the temporary maintenance of the 12% Export Tax rate on crude oil. According to the committee, the measure was adopted in response to the deterioration of the international en...

The period for party conventions begins on July 20, the war between the U.S. and Iran has once again increased oil prices, and the Central Bank faces uncertainty regarding interest rates

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Jul 2026

The period for party conventions begins on July 20. The main parties with presidential candidates have already scheduled the dates of their respective conventions. Flavio Bolsonaro is expected to choose a female running mate with the aim of reducing his resistance among female voters. The war bet...

Flávio Bolsonaro defended Pix in the USTR public hearing, there is still no agreement on the rural debt renegotiation bill, and two new presidential polls should be published today

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Jul 2026

At a public hearing held yesterday at the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR), Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) defended suspending the proposed surcharge on Brazilian products and maintaining Pix. There is still no agreement between the government and Congress on the proposal...

Flávio Bolsonaro will participate in the USTR public hearing, Motta will meet with the FPA to discuss the rural debt renegotiation bill, and the president of the CNI requested predictability for the Selective Tax under tax reform

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Jul 2026

Today, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) will participate in a public hearing in the United States to discuss the proposed additional 25% tariff on Brazilian products. The son of former President Jair Bolsonaro is expected to speak for five minutes. Today, Speaker of the House Hugo Motta (Republic...

A reduced "fiscal time bomb" agenda and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Jul 2026

The Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) is holding a public hearing on Monday and Tuesday to hear testimony from American and Brazilian organizations regarding its investigation into Brazilian trade practices that the U.S. considers "unreasonable". Meanwhile, President of the ...

Hugo Motta will meet with representatives of the FPA to discuss rural debt, the Senate may vote on the minimum freight rate policy proposal, and the USTR will hold public hearings on Brazil’s trade practices

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Jul 2026

Hugo Motta, President of the House, will meet on Tuesday (July 7) with representatives of the Parliamentary Agricultural Front (FPA) to discuss the proposal addressing rural debt (Bill No. 5,122/23). The economic team opposes the bill, which has already been approved by the Senate, due to its fis...

One of Flávio Bolsonaro’s closest allies caused political damage to his campaign, former Governor Caiado announced Kassab as his running mate, and leaders discussed the 6x1 work schedule proposal in the Senate

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Jul 2026

Journalist Paulo Figueiredo’s statement during a recent livestream that “women return to evil,” made on his Paulo Figueiredo Show podcast last week, is creating a new source of political damage for Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Figueiredo is one of former Congressman Eduardo Bolsonaro’s closest allie...

Former First Lady Michelle Bolsonaro has stepped down as president of PL Mulher, the Senate will hold a plenary debate on the 6x1 work schedule PEC, and leaders meet to discuss the rural debt renegotiation bill

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Jul 2026

Former First Lady Michelle Bolsonaro has reached an agreement with the Liberal Party (PL) to step down as chair of PL Mulher, the party's women's wing. The decision follows the public dispute between Michelle and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), the party's presidential candidate. Today, the Federa...

Lula launched the Desenrola program for financially compliant consumers, he will launch the 2026 Harvest Plan today, and the Senate may vote on the minimum freight rate policy provisional measure

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Jun 2026

In another move aimed at boosting his popularity, President Lula yesterday launched the Desenrola Adimplentes program during an event at the Presidential Palace. The initiative will offer loans with monthly interest rates of 1.99% to informal workers who are current on their debts. Today, Lula wi...

The government's new bet and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 29 Jun 2026

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro will host a gathering of conservative women in Brasília. Former First Lady Michelle Bolsonaro is expected to attend the event. The Senate will debate the constitutional amendment proposal to end the 6-on-1 work schedule. It is also expected to vote on the provisional meas...