The reciprocity response to the U.S. tariffs is not expected to be completed by December, the government is expected to submit the PLOA by the end of next week, and the issue involving Lula’s son continues
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 Aug 2026

Minister of Development, Industry and Trade Márcio Elias said on Wednesday (Aug. 19) that the economic reciprocity process in response to tariffs imposed by the United States is not expected to be completed by December. Last week, the government announced that it had initiated the reciprocity pro...

Senate President Alcolumbre sent the 6x1 work schedule proposal to the CCJ, Lula’s provisional measure on the “blouse tax” expires on Sep. 8, and Lula continues to criticize online betting
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Aug 2026

According to his staff, Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) has signed the order sending the proposed constitutional amendment (PEC) that would end the 6-on, 1-off (6x1) work schedule to the Constitution and Justice Committee (CCJ). This means the proposal should reach the CCJ in the comi...

The latest presidential poll shows that the race is statistically tied, the investigation into Lula’s son continues, and Caiado replaced his campaign strategist yesterday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Aug 2026

Yesterday, a new Nexus/BTG Pactual poll on the presidential election was released. It showed President Lula (PT) with 41% of first-round voting intentions. Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) has 36%. In a hypothetical runoff, Lula is numerically ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro, 47% to 44%. However, the race...

Campaign kickoff—Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro’s proposals and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Aug 2026

This week's Talking Points: • Lula and Flávio kick off their campaigns. On the first day of the official election campaign, President Lula (PT) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) adopted different strategies. At a political rally held at Vila Euclides Stadium in the ABC region of São Paulo, Lu...

The official campaign period began this Sunday and will run through October 1, Alcolumbre said he would move forward with the 6x1 work schedule proposal, and two presidential polls will be released this week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Aug 2026

The campaign period officially began this Sunday (August 16) and will run through October 1, three days before the first round of the election. Radio and television campaign advertising begins on August 28 and will also run through October 1. Last week, President Lula (PT) met with Senate Preside...

Flávio Bolsonaro had difficulty registering his candidacy, the official campaign period begins on Sunday and runs through October 1, and the government said it notified the U.S. about instating reciprocal tariffs
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 Aug 2026

When Senator Flávio Bolsonaro attempted to register his candidacy for the presidency, he was prevented from doing so because the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) system showed that he was affiliated with Missão rather than the PL. Yesterday, the TSE restored Flávio’s PL affiliation. His candidacy h...

Lula signed four decrees on policies for the electricity and fuels sectors, the STF will hold a hearing on whether the FGC will extend a loan to BRB, and the Federal Revenue Service may release new regulations on Tax Reform
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Aug 2026

President Lula (PT) yesterday signed four decrees regulating policies for the electricity and fuel sectors. The measures regulate the use of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF); Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS), aimed at the environmentally responsible storage of CO2; the legal framework for green hy...

Polls show that the election remains polarized between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, the House may vote on the bill that reduces taxes on fuels, and Lula will sign four decrees on policies for the electricity and fuels sectors
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 12 Aug 2026

Between Monday and Tuesday, three opinion polls were released. The Nexus/BTG, Apex/Futura, and CNT/MDA polls converge on one central point: the presidential election remains polarized between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, with both holding a wide lead over the other candidates. Today, the Lower Hous...

Congress begins a week of concentrated legislative activity, Lula may meet with Senate President Alcolumbre to discuss Senate priorities, and House President Motta has announced his support for Lula in the elections
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 Aug 2026

Today, the Lower House and the Senate begin a week of concentrated legislative activity. The voting agenda has yet to be finalized. This morning, Institutional Relations Minister José Guimarães and government leaders in Congress will have breakfast with Finance Minister Dario Durigan in an effort...

Lula's strategy pays off and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 10 Aug 2026

The National Congress holds its first concentrated legislative session ahead of the elections. Political parties have until August 15 to register their candidates with the Electoral Court. Electoral campaigning begins the following day. Seven polls on presidential voting intentions and the federa...

Congress will hold a week of concentrated activity this week, House Speaker Motta will meet with party leaders tomorrow to discuss the agenda, and parties have until Sunday to register their candidates
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 10 Aug 2026

This will be a week of concentrated legislative activity in the Lower House and the Senate. Due to the elections, both chambers have decided to hold only two weeks of congressional activity before the first round, scheduled for October 4. House Speaker Hugo Motta (Republicanos-PB) will meet with ...

Investigations into Lula’s son and former aide continue, Minister Boulos will meet with unions to discuss the end of the 6x1 work schedule, and Congress will resume activity next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Aug 2026

A meeting with the Ministry of Justice and the Office of the Attorney General has been scheduled to discuss the Federal Police’s autonomy to investigate allegations involving fraud at the INSS, Brazil’s social security agency. The issue has generated significant attention because the investigatio...

Flávio Bolsonaro has announced Federal Congressman Alfredo Gaspar as his running mate, Lula argued that the government should lower interest rates, and Congress will hold a concentrated voting session next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Aug 2026

Flavio Bolsonaro has announced Federal Congressman Alfredo Gaspar (PL-AL) as his running mate. Gaspar is from Brazil's Northeast and served as the rapporteur of the congressional inquiry into the INSS scandal. Yesterday, President Lula (PT) argued that the government should find an alternative to...

The Trump administration revoked the visa of Brazil’s ambassador to the U.S., Justice Dino authorized the opening of a new investigation into Lulinha, and Flávio Bolsonaro may announce his running mate
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Aug 2026

The Donald Trump administration revoked the visa of Brazil’s ambassador to the United States in retaliation for Brazil’s refusal last month to grant visas to two U.S. diplomats who intended to visit the country ahead of the upcoming presidential election. The Brazilian government accused the Trum...

Party negotiations continue to intensify over the next two days, the Federal Police asked the STF to open another investigation into Lula’s son, and the Copom meets to decide on the benchmark interest rate
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 04 Aug 2026

Today is the second-to-last day for political parties to hold their national conventions. Negotiations are expected to intensify over the next two days. Senator Tereza Cristina (PP-MS) said yesterday that she still believes there is a possibility of being chosen as the vice-presidential running m...