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COUNTRY INSIGHTS

Political Insights: Week of August 19
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Aug 2013

On Tuesday Congress will analyze the controversial vetoes by President Dilma Rousseff.These include the additional 10% fine on the Unemployment Guarantee Fund (FGTS) owed by employers to the federal government in cases of unfair dismissal, and the extension of Reintegra.If overturned, they will h...

CNT/MDA shows significant popularity losses for Dilma
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Aug 2013

On July 16, CNT/MDA released a poll on the Dilma Rousseff administration, taken from July 7-10.As with the previous Datafolha research, this poll showed a significant drop in Dilma’s approval rating, which fell from 54.2% to 31.1% (23.1 percentage points) compared to the previous poll, from June....

Political Insights: Week of August 12
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 12 Aug 2013

President Dilma Rousseff continues her strategy of strengthening her relationship with the allied base.Votes on the compulsory budget and the bill that destines resources from the pre-salt for education and healthcare are scheduled in the House.In the Federal Supreme Court, the mensalão trial res...

Political Insights: Week of August 5
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Aug 2013

A week of expectations.The government is trying to mend dialogue with its base.A series of meetings between allies and the government are scheduled for this week.In Congress, party leaders in the House and Senate discuss the voting agenda for the next few weeks.A meeting of the national leadershi...

Political Insights: Week of July 29
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 29 Jul 2013

Congress resumes activity on Thursday, but voting will begin next week. This week we highlight the economy, with the release of the commercial balance for July, industrial production for June and other indicators. Dilma’s interview Sunday’s Folha newspaper contained a three-page interview with Pr...

Week of July 22: Political Insights
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 Jul 2013

Executive Summary The main event of the week is Pope Francis’s visit to Brazil. In other news, the government is monitoring social media to identify possible protests leading up to World Youth Day on July 28.Regarding the economy, we highlight the announcement of budget cuts of approximately R$ 1...

Weekly Tracker: July 16-23
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Jul 2013

The week begins with indecision regarding the congressional recess. According to the Constitution, to begin the recess, congressmen and senators must vote on the Budget Guidelines Law. However, the rapporteur believes that it will not be voted upon until August. The government may announce budget...

Week of July 9: Political Insights
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Jul 2013

Two major economic events will take place this week: the announcement of budget cuts which, according to Finance Minister Guido Mantega, will be below R$ 15 billion; and the Central Bank’s decision regarding the basic interest rate. In Congress, the plebiscite on political reform remains on the a...

Week of July 1: Political Insights
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Jul 2013

Executive Summary President Dilma Rousseff continues negotiations with both the opposition and her base for a plebiscite on political reform. In addition, there are important topics on the congressional agenda this week. The House may vote to end the additional 10% fine in case of unfair employee...

Dilma Announces Pact to Create a Positive Agenda to End Protests
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Jun 2013

The wave of protests taking place in the country since June 13 changed the government's agenda. Yesterday, President Dilma Rousseff organized a meeting with representatives of the Movement Passe Livre (MPL or "Free Fare Movement") and with governors and mayors of capital cities.The initiative is ...

Wave of Protests Brings Political, Social and Economic Unrest
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Jun 2013

Executive SummaryThis paper examines different scenarios for the demonstrations currently taking place in Brazil. Demonstrations tend to lose strength over time without the participation of civil servants and private sector workers. The central government's response could prevent a further spread...

Week of June 25: Political Insights
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 25 Jun 2013

President Dilma Rousseff Meets With Governors To Discuss The Distribution Of Oil Royalties For Education, Improvements In Public Services And An Analysis Of The Protests Throughout The Country.New Demonstrations Are Expected To Take Place This Week. The New Minister Of The Federal Supreme Court, ...

CNI/IBOPE: Research Conducted Before the Start of the Demonstrations Showed A Fall in President Rousseff’s Popularity
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 21 Jun 2013

Executive SummaryThe latest research from CNI/IBOPE, conducted before the outbreak of demonstrations across the country that began on June 13, showed a decline in the positive evaluation of Dilma Rousseff's government, with approval falling from 63% to 55%. Furthermore, for the first time since D...

A Wave of Demonstrations Threatens the Government
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Jun 2013

A series of demonstrations that began in São Paulo last week, originally against the readjustment of bus fares, is growing in size as it spreads across the country. On Monday night, according to the Datafolha Institute, about 65,000 people attended the demonstration in Brasilia. In Rio de Janeiro...

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