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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank Oct 17 -
Brazil Economics databank Sep 15
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Central America databank Sep 30
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Chile databank Sep 25
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank Oct 1
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Dominican Republic databank Sep 25
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Ecuador databank Sep 30
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Gulf Countries databank Oct 17
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Hungary databank Oct 17
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India databank Jun 26
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Mexico databank Aug 28
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Panama databank Jul 17
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Peru databank Sep 29
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Philippines databank Oct 8
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Poland databank Sep 29
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Russia Economics databank Oct 16
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South Africa databank Oct 3
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Turkey databank Aug 11
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Ukraine databank Aug 15
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Venezuela databank Oct 6
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - CHILE ELECTION BRIEFING: GOING INTO THE FIRST ROUND...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
TOPIC OF THE WEEK: Why is Georgia growing so much faster than Armenia?
CAUCASUS / CENTRAL ASIA · Report · 22 Aug 2025
When the IMF upped its 2025 GDP forecast for Georgia (to 7.2%) in June upon conducting its regular Article IV Mission in Tbilisi, many were caught by surprise. After all, wasn't Georgia about to experience the aftershocks of the contested parliamentary and presidential elections in 2024 as religi...
Inflation likely to stay elevated in August prompting NBK to hold the base rate
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 22 Aug 2025
According to the Bureau of National Statistics, the weekly aggregate price index on socially essential goods (mainly basic foodstuffs) remained flat in the seven days ending on August 18. The MTD index remained at 0.1% on that day. It is not unusual to see some deflationary weeks during the harve...
Marcel resigns
CHILE · In Brief · 21 Aug 2025
Chile's Finance Minister, Mario Marcel, widely viewed as a guarantor of economic responsibility, resigned this morning. He claims to have made the move for personal reasons. The widely held view is that he may take up a position at the IMF. Others say he may join the Jara campaign, although this...
The Federal Police indicted Bolsonaro and his son for coercion, leaked audio recordings could damage the Bolsonaro family’s image, and Justice Moraes said Brazilian courts can punish banks that follow US orders
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 21 Aug 2025
The Federal Police (PF) has indicted former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) and his son, Federal Congressman Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL-SP), for coercion in the criminal case concerning the attempted coup d’état following the 2022 elections. Newly released audio recordings could also damage the Bolsonar...
Bi-Weekly Economic News Summary
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 21 Aug 2025
Aug 7 Prime Minister: Kazakhstan plans to raise $24.2 bln in the next 5 years for the repair of utility networks. Aug 8 Government: Construction of the first nuclear power plant has started in Kazakhstan. Aug 11 NBK: Kazakhstan's gross international reserves increased by 0.8% in July to $113.041 ...
Dominican government submits supplementary budget to boost capital spending and economic growth
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · In Brief · 20 Aug 2025 · 1 response
The Dominican Government has submitted a supplementary budget bill to Congress that increases capital expenditure by 0.4% of GDP, thereby raising the overall deficit to 3.47% of GDP, up from the 2.99% originally approved in the 2025 budget. According to the Ministry of Finance and Economy, the me...
Bank of Israel holds rates; future easing less likely as Gaza operation gets underway
ISRAEL · In Brief · 20 Aug 2025
As we expected, the Bank of Israel kept the benchmark rate unchanged at 4.5% yesterday, for the 13th consecutive meeting. The tone was cautious and hawkish, with emphasis on inflation risks, geopolitical uncertainty, and a tight labor market. The bank also mentioned signs of a rapid recovery afte...
The Senate approved appointments to regulatory agencies, tensions between the US and South America continue to escalate, and the Senate may vote on the court-ordered debts proposal
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 Aug 2025 · 1 response
As expected, the Senate approved appointments to the boards of several regulatory agencies. These appointments had been stalled for months. Tensions between the United States and South America have escalated in recent days. U.S. government spokesperson Karoline Leavitt said on Tuesday (August 19)...
Budgetary amendments hint inflation to remain elevated in 2H25
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 20 Aug 2025
As the Kazakh economy grows fast, budget revenues not related to the oil price (and the exchange rate) grew steadily in July, especially on the local level. In 7M25 local budgets accumulated 57.4% of the upwardly amended yearly revenues. The government amended expected local budget revenues by KZ...
Bank of Israel expected to hold rates tomorrow; window for Q4 easing exists
ISRAEL · In Brief · 19 Aug 2025
The Bank of Israel is expected to announce its key policy rate decision tomorrow (Wednesday, August 20). We do not expect a rate cut at this meeting. Why wait: Headline inflation has eased but remains above the 3% upper bound. The BoI continues to warn of labor-supply-driven price pressures, incl...
The new Chevron authorization has no impact on inflation
VENEZUELA · Report · 19 Aug 2025
We revise our inflation forecasts upward from our July report due to the acceleration in the pace of official exchange rate depreciation starting in August, which we interpret as a new exchange rate policy stance by the Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV). Although Chevron was authorized by the U....
Justice Dino issued a decision that blocks the effects of foreign court decisions and laws without their first being validated by a Brazilian court, and the União Progressista party should be created today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Aug 2025
Yesterday, Justice Flávio Dino of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) ruled that foreign court decisions and laws cannot produce effects in Brazil without prior review by the competent Brazilian authority, under penalty of violating national sovereignty. Dino’s ruling sets a precedent that could susp...
The government is interfering with monetary policy once again
HUNGARY · Report · 19 Aug 2025
The often incalculable consequences of current US trade policy have proven to be quite easily calculable lately, even though probably for a short while only. Mr. Trump’s threat to impose penalty-level import tariffs on European goods has been averted, with the initially announced tariffs halved, ...
Political deadlock likely to continue and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Aug 2025
The government may send to Congress the bill regulating big techs. In the Senate, the highlights are the vote on the Precatório Constitutional Amendment Proposal and confirmation hearings for regulatory agency appointees. The parliamentary inquiry into the National Social Security Institute (INSS...
The Legislative Commissions are finally elected: uncertainty ahead. Steps in the right direction in fiscal results through June. Crossroads in ACP investment
PANAMA · Report · 19 Aug 2025
The Budget Commission of the Legislative Assembly was installed on Monday, August 11. It will be chaired by Deputy Eduardo Vásquez of Cambio Democrático (CD). Minister Chapman stated that the MEF will present the budget proposal to the Commission on Wednesday, August 20; Vásquez will open the dis...